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The Not-So-Great Depression of 1922

Posted on 1/7/09 at 5:42 pm
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
20913 posts
Posted on 1/7/09 at 5:42 pm
Warren G. Harding had some stones....

Excerpts:

quote:

Which U.S. president ranks as America's greatest depression fighter?

Not the fabled Franklin Delano Roosevelt, since unemployment averaged 17 percent through the New Deal period (1933–1940).

[snip]

[Under Warren G. Harding] federal spending was cut from $6.3 billion in 1920 to $5 billion in 1921 and $3.2 billion in 1922. Federal taxes fell from $6.6 billion in 1920 to $5.5 billion in 1921 and $4 billion in 1922. Harding's policies started a trend. The low point for federal taxes was reached in 1924; for federal spending, in 1925. The federal government paid off debt, which had been $24.2 billion in 1920, and it continued to decline until 1930.

[snip]

With Harding's tax and spending cuts and relatively non-interventionist economic policy, GNP rebounded to $74.1 billion in 1922. The number of unemployed fell to 2.8 million— a reported 6.7 percent of the labor force— in 1922. So, just a year and a half after Harding became president, the Roaring Twenties were underway. The unemployment rate continued to decline, reaching an extraordinary low of 1.8 percent in 1926. Since then, the unemployment rate has been lower only once in wartime (1944), and never in peacetime.

The Roaring Twenties were a time of unprecedented prosperity. GNP expanded year after year without inflation. Productivity improved, and real wages increased. The stock market tripled. There was a dramatic expansion of the middle class.




Posted by ElmGrove
Member since Jul 2008
55 posts
Posted on 1/7/09 at 7:10 pm to
clamdip:

And then what happened?

Was there endless prosperity for the next 2 decades?
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
20913 posts
Posted on 1/7/09 at 7:57 pm to

Fed, Hoover, FDR.
Posted by Rivers
Florida
Member since Nov 2008
3256 posts
Posted on 1/8/09 at 6:48 am to
Was it not Harding that, while president, had a continual stream of high class hookers in the White House each evening? Er...or, was it Grover Cleveland? In any case, I believe a happy and stisfied president will have a fine outlook on life and likely get more done for the good of his country.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 1/8/09 at 8:19 am to
quote:

The Roaring Twenties were a time of unprecedented prosperity. GNP expanded year after year without inflation. Productivity improved, and real wages increased. The stock market tripled. There was a dramatic expansion of the middle class.


I'm about to say something I myself find blasphemous, but Prohibition of alcohol sales also coincided with this unprecedented period of economic growth.
Posted by Colonel Hapablap
Mostly Harmless
Member since Nov 2003
28791 posts
Posted on 1/8/09 at 8:41 am to
my guess is that he probably also did a bunch of things to light up credit expansion, and then it blew up in 1929. Much like Clinton/Congress in 1995.
Posted by Rivers
Florida
Member since Nov 2008
3256 posts
Posted on 1/8/09 at 10:01 am to
Prohibition of alcohol sales was probably a net gainer for GDP although there is no way to prove it since lots of the money flow went unreported.

The brewers were still employed although mostly in new and undisclosed locations, including Canada.

An entire new group of people, gangsters, were employed for various duties.

The government created entire new agencies, employing lots of people, to deal with new categories of employment; gangsters and bootlegers.

Attorneys found new employment opportunities defending those in the new fields of employment.

Incomes of judges increased because gangsters/bootlegers had lots of money.

Gun and ammo manufactureres sales increased.

etc.
Posted by clamdip
Rocky Mountain High
Member since Sep 2004
20913 posts
Posted on 1/8/09 at 10:23 am to
quote:

my guess is that he probably also did a bunch of things to light up credit expansion, and then it blew up in 1929. Much like Clinton/Congress in 1995.


No, but you are right it did happen from about '24 up until the crash. Just that it looks like Harding died before that credit balloon was inflating.

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