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re: credit bubble vs house prices
Posted on 5/9/24 at 10:36 am to SDVTiger
Posted on 5/9/24 at 10:36 am to SDVTiger
quote:
2 more bad jobs reports and the Fed is 100% going to cut
Only if inflation is moving down. They know if they cut while inflation is moving up they will just be pouring gas on the fire.
Generally, summertime means more economic activity and all the prognosticators are expecting a busy summer (based on travel bookings). If we have a strong summer, inflation isn't going down (meaning we aren't getting a cut at least until September).
1
Posted on 5/10/24 at 6:43 am to Bard
quote:Normally I’d agree with that assessment, but this is an election year with a president who is almost Jimmy Carter bad (those memories stay with you).
quote:2 more bad jobs reports and the Fed is 100% going to cut Only if inflation is moving down. They know if they cut while inflation is moving up they will just be pouring gas on the fire.
There’s no bad decision they won’t be willing to make to try and win the election.
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