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re: Forecaster who hasn't missed a presidential prediction in 40 YEARS reveals prediction
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:52 am to Flats
Posted on 5/1/24 at 8:52 am to Flats
quote:
Unfortunately he's also "super hated" as a candidate. People keep claiming he's massively popular because he has rabid support from his base, but that's a misuse of the word. He's polarizing, not popular.
He received over 74 million votes in 2020, up from 63 million votes in 2016 and his support has only grown since 2020. He’s going to receive 75 million or more votes this time. How can you claim he’s not massively popular?
2
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:04 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
How can you claim he’s not massively popular?
Because "popular" has an actual meaning. Bernie Sanders has a lot of loyal supporters too; does that mean he's popular?
If 2/3rds of the country loved Trump and 1/3 hated him, "popular" would be accurate, especially in a political context. If half the country hates/doesn't want him, "popular" isn't the word you're looking for.
Posted on 5/1/24 at 9:05 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
He’s going to receive 75 million or more votes this time. How can you claim he’s not massively popular?
He's not going to get close to that without mail in voting. Almost 26% of his 74 million were from mail in votes in 2020.
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