re: Pick 150, Saints take Spencer Rattler

At the end of the day, it’s about projection with these guys. Rattler has the arm talent and can throw off platform. He checks a lot of the more difficult boxes, with a few tweak he may be on to something. At worst he’s probably a Sam Howell kinda guy. If he hits his ceiling, he could be a legit starter

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P-5 QBs with a >80% adjusted completion rate and 8.5+ YPA from a clean pocket since 2014 (min 1000 DBs)

- Patrick Mahomes
- Joe Burrow
- Brock Purdy
- Baker Mayfield
- Tyler Huntley
- Spencer Rattler
- Bryce Young

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Scramble % on non-pressured dropbacks (final college season)

Justin Fields: 9.1%
Jayden Daniels: 7.2%
Drake Maye: 5.6%
Anthony Richardson: 5.1%
Bryce Young: 5.0%
Spencer Rattler: 4.3%
Bo Nix: 2.6%
Caleb Williams: 2.6%
CJ Stroud: 2.5%
Trevor Lawrence: 1.1%
Michael Penix Jr: 0.7%

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Percentage of all passes from play action (college career)

Caleb Williams: 43%
Anthony Richardson: 37%
Spencer Rattler: 35%
CJ Stroud: 34%
Bo Nix: 33%
Aidan O’Connell: 32%
Will Levis: 31%
Bryce Young: 29%
Michael Penix Jr: 29%
Drake Maye: 27%
JJ McCarthy: 25%
Jayden Daniels: 21%

Percentage of career interceptions that came on play action

Caleb Williams: 64.3%
CJ Stroud: 50.0%
Drake Maye: 37.5%
Anthony Richardson: 33.3%
Bryce Young: 33.3%
Spencer Rattler: 31.3%
Will Levis: 28.0%
Jayden Daniels: 20.0%
JJ McCarthy: 18.2%
Michael Penix Jr: 5.9%
Bo Nix: 3.9%

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Can see the appeal in a Kubiak scheme here

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Career YPA on throws outside the numbers from the upcoming QB class and 2023 1st-Round QBs:

CJ Stroud - 8.1
Caleb Williams - 8.1*
Jayden Daniels - 7.9*
JJ McCarthy - 7.9*
Michael Penix Jr - 7.6*
Spencer Rattler - 7.1*
Drake Maye - 7.0*
Bryce Young - 6.7
Anthony Richardson - 6.5

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Not far off the 1st rd guys