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re: Fresh polling out of Wisconsin

Posted on 4/18/24 at 7:47 pm to
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
33974 posts
Posted on 4/18/24 at 7:47 pm to
quote:

Wisconsin has been the tightest of the swing states for several months. It's all the college liberals in Madison and then the urbanites in Milwaukee.



Demographic shifts since 2020 strongly favor the Democrats. Most of the state has lost population, while the Madison area has grown by ~5%.

Most of the people who moved to Madison did so for tech jobs. Tech workers tend to be likely voters, and they tend to vote Democrat.


This post was edited on 4/18/24 at 7:51 pm
Posted by TxTiger82
Member since Sep 2004
33974 posts
Posted on 4/18/24 at 7:51 pm to
Factor in RFK, Jr. who is clearly siphoning votes from Trump rather than Biden, and you'll get a decisive Biden victory in 2024.
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