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re: If Brock Bowers or Rome Odunze are still on the board at 14, do you take one of them?
Posted on 3/31/24 at 9:50 am to Pels_Yaz
Posted on 3/31/24 at 9:50 am to Pels_Yaz
quote:
What you’re completely ignoring is historical data on how these similar prospects actually perform after they’re drafted and just assessing current prospect value.
You are not even looking at talent. You are just looking at statistics. You are making an assumption that the talent level amongst groups are the same every year. Odunze would have been the first receiver off the board if he was drafted last year. The level of talent amongst groups fluctuates every year which is why BPA is recommended. Except for Alt the tackle class all have flaws. They may be good and they may even be great but there is risk behind them. They aren’t all home runs.
Posted on 3/31/24 at 9:57 am to Mpd31
quote:
You are not even looking at talent. You are just looking at statistics. You are making an assumption that the talent level amongst groups are the same every year. Odunze would have been the first receiver off the board if he was drafted last year. The level of talent amongst groups fluctuates every year which is why BPA is recommended. Except for Alt the tackle class all have flaws. They may be good and they may even be great but there is risk behind them. They aren’t all home runs.
Im not. Im assessing things differently than you. Yes I get it every draft or prospect is different but in the end historically when these prospects play in their rookie year its really not. Talent on the field is exemplified by statistics you produce on the field.
What you’re saying about the tackle class(minus Alt) you can say about any other position group as well. The draft is a gamble even the best sure things flop and to act like someone is more of a sure thing than someone else without them competing in a NFL is nothing more than a calculated guess. You can’t sit here and tell me getting Bowers or Odunze are homeruns and sure things. Because we know historically for that not to be true and again its just a guess.
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