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re: John King: Trump Surging With Working Class, Hispanics, Blacks…But A Giant Problem Appears

Posted on 3/6/24 at 9:23 am to
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
96536 posts
Posted on 3/6/24 at 9:23 am to
quote:

That was true last time and its not going to move the needle


It means the urban turnout machines need to be running at their peak in order to counter high turnout of the opposition.



Obama won states no Dem had won in decades because he had black people voting in high numbers at about a 98% clip for him.


If Trump is getting the outskirts of every state voting for him in high percentages, that doesn’t get him Cali, NY state, etc, but it means that Detroit, Atlanta, Phoenix, Milwaukee, Minneapolis, Philly, and elsewhere will need massive turnout.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
423966 posts
Posted on 3/6/24 at 9:25 am to
quote:

It means the urban turnout machines need to be running at their peak in order to counter high turnout of the opposition.

Urban support for Biden in 2020 was lower than HRC in 2016.

Look at what demos flipped from 2016 to 2020: suburban voters.
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