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re: Hot Take: Natural gas prices do not coorelate with temp
Posted on 2/25/24 at 2:17 pm to Saunson69
Posted on 2/25/24 at 2:17 pm to Saunson69
temperature very much matters for gas pricing, but a 3 day cold spell does very little to move pricing when everything else has landed bearish.
-south central storage was above historical norms heading into winter
-lower 48 didn't experience winter
-dry producers have only recently announced any intention of slowing production
-existing lng (particularly freeport) has experienced operational issues
-two new lng facilities have announced delays to first cargo
-end of oct storage will be 4.3 - 4.5 tcf even with an extraordinarily hot summer
-south central storage was above historical norms heading into winter
-lower 48 didn't experience winter
-dry producers have only recently announced any intention of slowing production
-existing lng (particularly freeport) has experienced operational issues
-two new lng facilities have announced delays to first cargo
-end of oct storage will be 4.3 - 4.5 tcf even with an extraordinarily hot summer
Posted on 2/27/24 at 10:36 am to Louie T
prod is down 3-3.5 bcf/d depending on data vendor since 2/15
would help prices tremendously if market consensus for eom-oct wasn't 4+ tcf
would help prices tremendously if market consensus for eom-oct wasn't 4+ tcf
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