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re: Let's unpack the NIL problem shall we?

Posted on 1/11/24 at 2:02 pm to
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
29519 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 2:02 pm to
quote:

I can envision the NCAA clamping down on portal movement once it starts eroding fan interest and tv ratings dip ~20%


They tired with the 2x transfer restrictions. It was litigated and (temporarily) over-ruled. The NCAA chose to abstain from enforcing the restriction for (at least) the remainder of the 23-24 school calendar. Likely for good.

I think the toothpaste is out of the tube on the transfer penalties and won't be put back in.

quote:

I can see them allow and encourage extra school-provided benefits (regulated cash base salaries) for kids that sign 3-year contracts (non-transfer scholarships) with 4th and 5th year options to transfer.


Title IX would be a HUGE impediment to that. Football and men's basketball are the only players who generate a profit. However, the school is not going to be able to pay the starting QB more than the worst female player on the cross-country team. Potential football players would litigate the restriction because NIL pays them more of a market value and they won't want to be locked into a school "contract"

quote:

I can also see the top ~50 schools split off and make an independent “free agent league” completely outside any NCAA structure.


That's going to eventually happen. The problem is Title IX will still be in effect as long as the league is still affiliated with colleges/universities. The football team will still be the biggest profit generator...but if the school is paying players, the female athletes will have to be paid the same.
Posted by West Bank Dan
Atlanta
Member since Jan 2010
767 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 2:26 pm to
All of your points are spot-on and more informed than my musings. How about I also throw out: independent LLCs will be formed where a school licenses THEIR school colors, symbols and names to entertainment holding companies that organize their own league(s). Kind of NIL for schools. All of which to circumvent Title IX requirements…

Not that I support this. I point at the USFL which tried to get me to watch “The New Orleans Breakers” who played in Alabama and, to my knowledge, had zero actual ties to the city of New Orleans. At least an independent “LSU Tigers” football team would play in Tiger Stadium….

This isn’t as far-fetched (stupid) as it sounds if they don’t step in and put some governors on this to maintain quality of the product.
Posted by Bumble Bee
Northwest, La
Member since Jan 2011
778 posts
Posted on 1/11/24 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

They tired with the 2x transfer restrictions. It was litigated and (temporarily) over-ruled. The NCAA chose to abstain from enforcing the restriction for (at least) the remainder of the 23-24 school calendar. Likely for good.

I think the toothpaste is out of the tube on the transfer penalties and won't be put back in.


You would think at some point, a private organization has to be able to implement their own rules and regulations. The Universities Play under the NCAA. These are the transfer rules if you agree to if you sign said scholarship. (Maybe Scholarships need to be from the NCAA and not each school) No one is forcing these kids to sign the scholarship and play under these rules. They can look for other avenues.
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