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re: LSU defense has played three horrible games against experienced veteran QBs
Posted on 10/23/23 at 5:26 pm to Islandboy777
Posted on 10/23/23 at 5:26 pm to Islandboy777
Current SP+ rankings (Off/Def):
FSU (12th/17th) - gave up 45, scored 24
Miss St (45th/60th) - gave up 15, scored 41
Arkansas (53rd/49th) - gave up 31, scored 34
Ole Miss (17th/34th) - gave up 55, scored 49
Mizzou (18th/22nd) - gave up 39, scored 49
Auburn (59th/44th) - gave up 18, scored 48
Army (116th/92) - gave up 0, scored 62
Alabama (15th/4th) - better offense than both Mizzou and Ole Miss per this metric.
Yes Milroe doesn't look like the best QB, but their offense has gotten better as a whole and their defense is great. Their style of offense might be a better matchup for LSU's D because the QB isn't your typical accurate pocket passer, but they run the ball well and Milroe is usually throwing to wide open receivers, which is why he has put up decent numbers.
If LSU can do decent against the run, force Milroe into tight-ish throwing windows (avoid busted coverages), and prevent him from scrambling too much, then they have a good shot at getting some stops. I do think LSU has gotten slightly better on defense from a tackling and awareness perspective, but they simply lack talent and experience in key positions. The pass rush and secondary is weak, which is a bad combo for getting off the field on 3rd down.
I do think LSU will be stopped on offense more than people are expecting since Bama is easily the best D they will face all year and Saban has two weeks to prepare, but we have great weapons at every position similar to 2019. Staying ahead of schedule on 1st and 2nd down will be key.
Hopeful outcome - 38-34 Tigers
FSU (12th/17th) - gave up 45, scored 24
Miss St (45th/60th) - gave up 15, scored 41
Arkansas (53rd/49th) - gave up 31, scored 34
Ole Miss (17th/34th) - gave up 55, scored 49
Mizzou (18th/22nd) - gave up 39, scored 49
Auburn (59th/44th) - gave up 18, scored 48
Army (116th/92) - gave up 0, scored 62
Alabama (15th/4th) - better offense than both Mizzou and Ole Miss per this metric.
Yes Milroe doesn't look like the best QB, but their offense has gotten better as a whole and their defense is great. Their style of offense might be a better matchup for LSU's D because the QB isn't your typical accurate pocket passer, but they run the ball well and Milroe is usually throwing to wide open receivers, which is why he has put up decent numbers.
If LSU can do decent against the run, force Milroe into tight-ish throwing windows (avoid busted coverages), and prevent him from scrambling too much, then they have a good shot at getting some stops. I do think LSU has gotten slightly better on defense from a tackling and awareness perspective, but they simply lack talent and experience in key positions. The pass rush and secondary is weak, which is a bad combo for getting off the field on 3rd down.
I do think LSU will be stopped on offense more than people are expecting since Bama is easily the best D they will face all year and Saban has two weeks to prepare, but we have great weapons at every position similar to 2019. Staying ahead of schedule on 1st and 2nd down will be key.
Hopeful outcome - 38-34 Tigers
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