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re: Using 2020 data and/or recent STATE polls, show us what Swing States Trump could win ...
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:27 pm to RobbBobb
Posted on 7/27/23 at 9:27 pm to RobbBobb
quote:
On 538 the latest poll in GA by the Premise group has Trump +4. Also Cygnal has Trump +1
On 538 the latest poll in AZ by the Prime group has Trump +4. Rasmussen has Trump +11
Nevada Newsmakers poll has Trump +8 in NV
On 538 the latest poll in PA by Quinnipiac has Trump +1, the Prime group has Trump EVEN
Those states get Trump to 287 EVs.
not only that its just sampling. 538 runs 100k simulations during the month of. even at Clinton high water before fbi comey did a 2nd presser, trump was winning 13,000 simulations a day. one of those combos happened. he could win again.
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