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re: Using 2020 data and/or recent STATE polls, show us what Swing States Trump could win ...
Posted on 7/27/23 at 5:04 pm to POTUS2024
Posted on 7/27/23 at 5:04 pm to POTUS2024
Arizona 11 EVs
Georgia 16 EVs
Wisconsin 10 EVs
Pennsylvania 20 EVs
Nevada 6 EVs
Virginia 13 EVs
Looking at those states, there are no clear updated unbiased, nationally recognized, polls in AZ, GA or NV.
In Wisconsin there is:
Jun.8-13
913 RV
Marquette University Law School
Biden 49%
DeSantis 47%
Biden +2 (INSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR)
Biden 52%
Trump 43%
Biden +9
CLEARLY DeSantis in MUCH BETTER shape in Wisconsin. Trump cannot win in Wisconsin.
In PA, Quinnipiac did a JUNE Trump vs Biden poll, but not DeSantis vs Biden. Surprisingly, they who Trump +1. This is a state that elected a mentally ill person over Trump's hand picked candidate. Hard to conclude anything there.
... Let's take a look at Virginia:
Trump has NO chance with Biden + 16 in the most recent poll in May.
May 14-23
678 A
Roanoke College
Biden 54%
Trump 38%
Biden +16
Youngkin would win easy in VA, and the last poll with DeSantis was a +5 for DeSantis.
THE VERY BEST I CAN SEE TRUMP DOING is 268 ON A GOOD NIGHT. That is with him taking PA and GA. There is not enough evidence that he could win those two.
EV Map:
LINK
Georgia 16 EVs
Wisconsin 10 EVs
Pennsylvania 20 EVs
Nevada 6 EVs
Virginia 13 EVs
Looking at those states, there are no clear updated unbiased, nationally recognized, polls in AZ, GA or NV.
In Wisconsin there is:
Jun.8-13
913 RV
Marquette University Law School
Biden 49%
DeSantis 47%
Biden +2 (INSIDE THE MARGIN OF ERROR)
Biden 52%
Trump 43%
Biden +9
CLEARLY DeSantis in MUCH BETTER shape in Wisconsin. Trump cannot win in Wisconsin.
In PA, Quinnipiac did a JUNE Trump vs Biden poll, but not DeSantis vs Biden. Surprisingly, they who Trump +1. This is a state that elected a mentally ill person over Trump's hand picked candidate. Hard to conclude anything there.
... Let's take a look at Virginia:
Trump has NO chance with Biden + 16 in the most recent poll in May.
May 14-23
678 A
Roanoke College
Biden 54%
Trump 38%
Biden +16
Youngkin would win easy in VA, and the last poll with DeSantis was a +5 for DeSantis.
THE VERY BEST I CAN SEE TRUMP DOING is 268 ON A GOOD NIGHT. That is with him taking PA and GA. There is not enough evidence that he could win those two.
EV Map:
LINK
This post was edited on 7/27/23 at 5:17 pm
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