quote:
Here's the GA stats for you:

Both Trump and Dem had an increased percentage of total votes from 2016 (Clinton) to 2020 (Biden) in the over 50% of counties. Trump 86 counties increased to 73 decreased. Dems 102 counties increased to 57 decreased. Trump's margin of victory/defeat improved in 126 out of 59 counties from 2016 to 2020.

2016 3rd party candidates (Johnson, Stein, and others) recorded 125,306 votes.
2020 3rd party candidates (Jorgensen and others) recorded 64,473 votes.

In both WI & GA, the decrease in 3rd party votes from 2016 to 2020 is larger than Biden's margin of victory in 2020.

You’ve stated a bunch of stats without showing your work, congrats. Now assuming your stats are true, what’s your point or conclusion?

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Posted by CubsFanBudMan

Member since Jul 2008

5121 posts

Posted on 7/3/23 at 2:19 pm to Jon Ham

quote:
You’ve stated a bunch of stats without showing your work, congrats. Now assuming your stats are true, what’s your point or conclusion?

Do you have anything to show that my stats are wrong? You said that you were in the process of compiling Georgia. Did your stats match mine?

I've completed 3 states, and would like to do a few more before I try to figure out a way to share my Excel file. However, my preliminary conclusion, which I didn't think about prior to starting this, is that in 2016, more people voted 3rd party than in 2020. Will 2024 3rd party votes be closer to 2016 totals or 2020 totals?

The next question will be, if person A voted 3rd party in 2016 and Biden in 2020, will they stay with Biden in 2024, switch back to 3rd party, or switch to Trump? If it's DeSantis, what can he do to attract those voters who are probably less favorable to DeSantis's social platform?

I'll give you major brownie points if you actually answer that last question.

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