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re: What keeps the stock market afloat?

Posted on 4/3/23 at 7:57 pm to
Posted by bird35
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
12632 posts
Posted on 4/3/23 at 7:57 pm to
If there are twice as many dollars as they were 5 years ago and the Stock Market is the same that really means stocks fell by 50%.


Posted by Tantal
Member since Sep 2012
15377 posts
Posted on 4/3/23 at 8:06 pm to
quote:

If there are twice as many dollars as they were 5 years ago and the Stock Market is the same that really means stocks fell by 50%.


I'm not sure what this all means for the stock market. I was just addressing the "OMG France just accepted Yuan for a LNG shipment so the dollar is finished" crowd.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
41835 posts
Posted on 4/4/23 at 1:36 am to
quote:

If there are twice as many dollars as they were 5 years ago and the Stock Market is the same that really means stocks fell by 50%.

You are on to something, but no, that doesn’t follow. You are leaving out a major component, which is the supply of goods. If supply of goods kept pace with the money supply then the increase in money supply would not signal a drop in stock real value.

We have had a sudden and large expansion of the money supply, and there is no way the supply of goods kept pace, so there has been a decline in real value of stocks, but not by the ratio of the new money supply divided into the old.
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