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re: Why is it great pitching always beats great hitting?
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:34 am to FAP SAM
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:34 am to FAP SAM
quote:
From 1903 through this year’s Divisional Series, there have been 1,214 playoff games and therefore 2,428 team scores (since every game has two teams). Of these, good hitting has been beaten 315 times and has done the beating 259 times. The former figure is almost 13 percent of all outcomes, while the latter is 10.7 percent. So, on average, for every 10 games that good hitting is shut down, there are 8 where good hitting slaughters. The advantage goes to pitching overall, but the advantage is not so great that a short series will hold true to that advantage.
Again, just an old baseball cliche. Very tough to quantify, but fangraphs does a good job here explaining it’s fairly split with an edge to pitching.
So great pitching will not always beat great hitting nor vice versa.
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:43 am to MrWiseGuy
quote:
So great pitching will not always beat great hitting nor vice versa.
Always is not meant literally, of course sometimes the hitters win. Also you have to factor in that even great pitchers have off days where they don't have their best stuff
quote:Not every pitcher that pitches in the playoffs is "great", it is more likely than regular season games but not a guarantee.
Divisional Series,
Posted on 3/25/23 at 8:28 am to MrWiseGuy
If the hitting > pitching then it's not great pitching.
Great pitching = poor hitting
The statistical data is in Skenes' numbers.
Great pitching = poor hitting
The statistical data is in Skenes' numbers.
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