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re: Why is it great pitching always beats great hitting?

Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:34 am to
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27432 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:34 am to
quote:

From 1903 through this year’s Divisional Series, there have been 1,214 playoff games and therefore 2,428 team scores (since every game has two teams). Of these, good hitting has been beaten 315 times and has done the beating 259 times. The former figure is almost 13 percent of all outcomes, while the latter is 10.7 percent. So, on average, for every 10 games that good hitting is shut down, there are 8 where good hitting slaughters. The advantage goes to pitching overall, but the advantage is not so great that a short series will hold true to that advantage.


Again, just an old baseball cliche. Very tough to quantify, but fangraphs does a good job here explaining it’s fairly split with an edge to pitching.

So great pitching will not always beat great hitting nor vice versa.
Posted by FAP SAM
Member since Sep 2014
2882 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 7:43 am to
quote:

So great pitching will not always beat great hitting nor vice versa.

Always is not meant literally, of course sometimes the hitters win. Also you have to factor in that even great pitchers have off days where they don't have their best stuff

quote:

Divisional Series,
Not every pitcher that pitches in the playoffs is "great", it is more likely than regular season games but not a guarantee.
Posted by PerplenGold
TX
Member since Nov 2021
1187 posts
Posted on 3/25/23 at 8:28 am to
If the hitting > pitching then it's not great pitching.

Great pitching = poor hitting

The statistical data is in Skenes' numbers.
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