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re: $GOOGL was $75 before Covid - $161B revenues, $34B net income, 13.97B shares

Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:24 am to
Posted by lsu13lsu
Member since Jan 2008
11494 posts
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:24 am to
Much higher discount rate due to interest rates. Not saying it isn't undervalued but it matters what the market was using to discount it.

Next it matters what the market thinks it will grow at. Do the next few years seem like boom years?
This post was edited on 11/4/22 at 8:26 am
Posted by SmackoverHawg
Member since Oct 2011
27389 posts
Posted on 11/4/22 at 8:57 am to
quote:

. Do the next few years seem like boom years?


No. I think the worst is yet to come. I think we hit bottom sometime next year. I don't think you lose at these levels, but I wouldn't be shocked if we can get bigger discounts on some of these titans. Plus, I think a lot of money will start pouring into energy as oil prices go back over $100 and higher.
Posted by Street Hawk
Member since Nov 2014
3467 posts
Posted on 11/4/22 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Much higher discount rate due to interest rates.

Math related to the higher discount rate and NPV of future earnings is in the 3rd bullet point of my OP.
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