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re: Ian Observation Thread (Storm Track and Radar inside)

Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:18 pm to
Posted by Oates Mustache
Member since Oct 2011
22384 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:18 pm to
So Tampa it is unless something drastic changes. The models are all locked in.

The last domino were the Euro ensembles and they're actually slightly south of Tampa.

This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 8:21 pm
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55557 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:23 pm to
The 18z Euro is pretty much a worst case for Tampa. It makes landfall, but barely. It then proceeds to keep them in the eyewall for something like 12 hours as it slows.

We're also looking at the potential for well over a foot of rain across a swath of FL as it just meanders.
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 8:26 pm
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
9505 posts
Posted on 9/26/22 at 8:23 pm to
Some reports I read have it staying just off coast up the western side of FL and even slowing by Tampa which is worst case scenario because winds are stronger on south and east sides. If true that means a lot of storn surge all over plus huge rain/flooding inland. The reports said no landfall before Tampa. Staying off coast means it keeps its power longer no shearing
This post was edited on 9/26/22 at 8:25 pm
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