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re: 2yr Treasury Nearly 4 Percent

Posted on 9/21/22 at 5:20 pm to
Posted by kung fu kenny
Birmingham
Member since Sep 2017
1759 posts
Posted on 9/21/22 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

Some of these on-the-run treasury bonds 20+ duration are going to yield 30-40% on top of the coupon the next few years. Most people don't understand that.


please explain, Great Wutang - treasury bonds don't pay coupons? and how would they yield 30%+ if the rate is locked in at issue? maybe i am misunderstanding something here
Posted by Pendulum
Member since Jan 2009
7068 posts
Posted on 9/21/22 at 7:35 pm to
quote:

please explain, Great Wutang - treasury bonds don't pay coupons? and how would they yield 30%+ if the rate is locked in at issue? maybe i am misunderstanding something here


Treasury bonds pay out a coupon. Bonds with higher duration will increase in price more than shorter duration bonds because they have higher convexity, so as rates go down, you have gains on top of the coupon. You are assuming rates are going down from what is priced in now in this scenario.

This post was edited on 9/21/22 at 7:37 pm
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