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re: Nate Silverware releases 538’s first 2022 forecast

Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:13 pm to
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119556 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:13 pm to
Prediction:

GOP picks up 55 House seats. 265 GOP and 170 Dem.

GOP picks up 2 Senate seats. 52 GOP and 48 Dem (46 Dem and 2 Is that caucus with Dems).
This post was edited on 6/30/22 at 1:29 pm
Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 6/30/22 at 1:21 pm to
I’m not sure I follow your Senate forecast. Currently, the GOP has 50, if they pick up 2 they would have 52. To maintain the 50, either incumbents or open GOP seats are won and no Democrats lose or the GOP loses seats, but offsets those losses with pickups.
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