re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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think most realists can see that this hasn't gone well for Russia. I think most realists can also see that Russia would have steamrolled them by now without foreign aid.

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Don't forget that Russia's vaulted 1st Guard got annihilated outside of Kyiv.

Also worth noting: Russia didn't exactly light the world on fire from 2014 - 2022, prior to their full-scale invasion.

Ultimately, this is a wasted argument, though: Ukraine did receive outside assistance, and thus Russia was stymied.

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I would like to see an argument that things are going well for Ukraine though. You know, two things can be true: Ukraine is starting to show cracks, and Russia has shown to be inept in conflicts where they don't have an overwhelming advantage.

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Thoughtful and nuanced responses? In this thread?

It's a full-blown war, nobody will "do well" with it. It's clear the counter-offensive was a mistake, and Ukraine would have been best suited to stay on defense and maintain a huge K:D ratio in defensive actions.

IMO, Ukraine "wins" by surviving and joining the EU. They're still on pace for both, so I'd say they're headed in the right direction.