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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Posted on 6/29/23 at 6:55 am to
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18150 posts
Posted on 6/29/23 at 6:55 am to
quote:

I do think that where we are seeing a lot of the positive footage coming out from i.e. Bahkmut is due to the below

- The units there have been in that particular area for months, they know it well and have copious amounts of real time experience in its conditions and are simply having a greater degree of success.



Yes, but Ukraine also recently added the newly formed 22nd Mechanized Brigade to the fight around Bakhmut. They mostly have old Soviet stuff, but they did get some of the Polish-donated PT-91s. LINK

A couple of weeks ago, Ukraine was making slow progress south of Bakhmut but was basically stuck in the northern flank.

Adding an additional brigade has really accelerated Ukrainian progress around Bakhmut in the last few days, both north and south of the city.

I expect to see Ukraine take Klishchiivka in the next couple of days, and that will open up the southern flank for further gains.
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
18150 posts
Posted on 6/29/23 at 7:34 am to
quote:

Adding an additional brigade has really accelerated Ukrainian progress around Bakhmut in the last few days, both north and south of the city.

I expect to see Ukraine take Klishchiivka in the next couple of days, and that will open up the southern flank for further gains


To add to these thoughts, I think that Ukraine has added the 22nd to the Bakhmut fight specifically because of the Wagner mutiny. If Bakhmut is retaken by Ukraine, that will have a tremendous impact in Russia, as it will humiliate the Russian MoD and cause a significant shift in Russian public opinion towards Wagner.
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