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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Posted on 3/13/23 at 6:20 pm to tigeraddict
Posted on 3/13/23 at 6:20 pm to tigeraddict
quote:
And thanks for the articles.
You're welcome. There's another long Washington Post article (generally pessimistic about Ukraine) that I'm not going to bother with right now, except this bit:
quote:
U.S. officials said they expect Ukraine’s offensive to start in late April or early May, and they are acutely aware of the urgency of supplying Kyiv because a drawn-out war could favor Russia, which has more people, money and weapons manufacturing.
LINK
Ukraine really can't wait much longer than that. All the aid that NATO promised in January and February is basically for this offensive, and it's obvious that a lot of future aid depends on its success. So, while Ukraine might not be as ready as they would like by the beginning of May, the political imperative will be to launch the offensive.
If and when Ukraine reaches the Sea of Azov, then there will be an appeal to Congress for more military aid -- Ukraine has no chance of getting anything without a significant victory. And European countries will do the same. And then the next phase of the war will begin.
Posted on 3/13/23 at 7:13 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
Ukraine has no chance of getting anything without a significant victory. And European countries will do the same.
What's next in the hypothetical that Ukraine doesn't secure any significant success with their new toys they're amassing now? Does the west just stop all aid except maybe some small arms and ammo? Do all the NATO countries just start mobilizing for the eventual shooting war with Russia and start transitioning to a wartime economy and build up massive surpluses? Because if the flow of weapons that gives UA the tech advantage stops, Russia will eventually roll over the entire country and Poland is gonna get extremely antsy with Ruskies at the border.
Crazy Europe-wide hypothetical with a lot riding on Ukraine being able to perform with our equipment this spring and summer...and perform well.
This post was edited on 3/13/23 at 7:14 pm
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