re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict

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Since you’re back, can you update from your contacts if they’re still confident in the mid-late summer pushback with fresh troops? Actually asked this way back through the bullshite because cnn & nbc were reporting we doubted the Ukrainians could take back territory after the Russians broke through in Donbas. Given the two outlets and the timing I questioned the validity and intent and was curious of your update.

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My former roommate is back in the field and I have not heard from him in awhile. My sauce(s) in Ukrainian intel are still confident that Ukraine can and will take back most of the lost terrain and they are happy with how long they delayed Russia's capture of Sievierdonetsk given that they made the decision to kill, wound, or capture as many Russians as possible and then withdraw back in early May. According to my sauce(s) in Ukraine the counterattack in the Kherson region is still going on but the lack of artillery shells and how some of the EU countries have slow walked or flat out did not deliver promised equipment. There is also disagreement about whether the Ukrainians should focus on a southern offensive liberating the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia oblasts, or renew their northern offensive Vovchans'k and/or Kup;yans'k. The northern offensive if successful would cut the main supply lines Russia is using to supply its troops in the Donbas. However that offensive would be subject to counter attack by most of the Russian forces in Ukraine. The Southern offensive would liberate the Kherson and Zapaorizhzia oblasts and prevent Russia from staging any fake referendums. It would also cut off Russia's land bridge to the Crimea and the north Crimean canal. However, Ukraine would have to bust through the Russian defensive positions and then cross the Dnieper river. It also puts the largest nuclear power plant in Ukraine back in the line of fire as well as the largest dam and hydroelectric plant in Europe on the front lines.

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cnn & nbc were reporting we doubted the Ukrainians could take back territory after the Russians broke through in Donbas

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If Ukraine is given the weapons it was promised then it can. If it is not given the weapons it was promised then it cannot. A lot of people especially in Europe (aka Germany) are trying to sabotage the war effort by backing out on assistance commitments. So the bad news campaign is a PR campaign to make Europe actually honor its commitments instead of playing both sides of the table and stabbing Ukraine in the back.