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re: Why LSU will be better than most people think in 2022.
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:08 pm to Tigerbait1977
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:08 pm to Tigerbait1977
8-4 is probably a reason O/U for next year's team.
LSU is going to have several new faces on the roster and a completely new coaching staff. EXPECTATIONS of a 10 win season are largely based on sheer optimism.
The road schedule in even years is always more difficult for LSU. They will play at Auburn, Florida and A&M (along with Arkansas). I think you could argue Auburn, LSU and Florida all seem to be in the same boat right now. Could LSU beat both at their place? Sure. Is it reasonable to expect that to be the case? Probably not. A&M has won the last two game there and they probably have a bit better roster than LSU right now. Then we get Alabama at home...who LSU hasn't beaten in TS since 2010.
COULD LSU win 10 games next year? Sure. But I would not set that as the bar for expectations given it is a first year coaching staff, with a lot of new players, taking over a program that has struggled to hit .500 each of the last two seasons.
LSU is going to have several new faces on the roster and a completely new coaching staff. EXPECTATIONS of a 10 win season are largely based on sheer optimism.
The road schedule in even years is always more difficult for LSU. They will play at Auburn, Florida and A&M (along with Arkansas). I think you could argue Auburn, LSU and Florida all seem to be in the same boat right now. Could LSU beat both at their place? Sure. Is it reasonable to expect that to be the case? Probably not. A&M has won the last two game there and they probably have a bit better roster than LSU right now. Then we get Alabama at home...who LSU hasn't beaten in TS since 2010.
COULD LSU win 10 games next year? Sure. But I would not set that as the bar for expectations given it is a first year coaching staff, with a lot of new players, taking over a program that has struggled to hit .500 each of the last two seasons.
1
Posted on 1/19/22 at 12:25 pm to Alt26
I'm actually thinking 9-3 for an over-under.
But that's based on some assumptions about how recruiting finishes up and how a lot of these newcomers pan out.
And it's mostly based on a perhaps irrational feeling that Brennan is going to have a big year.
I'm working on the model that last year was 1999 and Orgeron was DiNardo, and this year will be 2000 with Kelly as Saban. We went 8-4 that year, but I don't think we'll lose to UAB like we did then.
But that's based on some assumptions about how recruiting finishes up and how a lot of these newcomers pan out.
And it's mostly based on a perhaps irrational feeling that Brennan is going to have a big year.
I'm working on the model that last year was 1999 and Orgeron was DiNardo, and this year will be 2000 with Kelly as Saban. We went 8-4 that year, but I don't think we'll lose to UAB like we did then.
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