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re: Hurricane Season - Nicole only 2nd Cat 3 for Bermuda
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
I've gotten lost in a sea of models this last week. 
But wasn't GFS the one that consistently stuck to 99L taking the northeastern turn and targeting Florida? Or am I wrong on that? I recall one model being chastised for somewhat stubbornly insisting the storm would ride the west coast of Florida. As well as HWRF's insistence that it would blow up into a monster.
Not that I'm putting much stock in what one model suggests this far out.
But wasn't GFS the one that consistently stuck to 99L taking the northeastern turn and targeting Florida? Or am I wrong on that? I recall one model being chastised for somewhat stubbornly insisting the storm would ride the west coast of Florida. As well as HWRF's insistence that it would blow up into a monster.
Not that I'm putting much stock in what one model suggests this far out.
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 6:12 pm
1
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:11 pm to GEAUXmedic
we're still going 3+ years without a hurricane in the gulf, correct? I know there was a thread on it recently so don't feel like this can be a jinx.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 6:15 pm to Lsuhoohoo
quote:
I've gotten lost in a sea of models this last week.
I wish that would happen to me.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:09 pm to Bestbank Tiger
Here is what the 18z GFS does with the wave that is still currently over Africa. This is way, way, way long range though, so take with a huge grain of salt.
ETA: Gif won't work
ETA: Gif won't work
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 8:14 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:17 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
Has there ever been a hurricane that's come directly off the coast of Africa and gotten into the gulf and made land fall in the US?
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:21 pm to Prominentwon
Andrew
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:21 pm to Prominentwon
quote:
Has there ever been a hurricane that's come directly off the coast of Africa and gotten into the gulf and made land fall in the US?
Yes, most gulf storms come off africa at some point
This post was edited on 8/28/16 at 8:22 pm
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:23 pm to Prominentwon
Yes. Many.
But I would say it's incredibly unlikely to follow the current predictions.
But I would say it's incredibly unlikely to follow the current predictions.
Posted on 8/28/16 at 8:51 pm to Prominentwon
Yeah, many hurricanes are known as Cape Verde Hurricanes. They roll off of Africa near the Cape Verde Islands as a tropical wave and begin their trek across the Atlantic. Hurricane Ivan in 2004 was one such storm, in fact, Ivan became a Cat 4 hurricane before it even got to the Lesser Antilles.
Posted on 8/29/16 at 9:48 am to Roll Tide Ravens
Know this model is so far out it's a joke (went from Louisiana to Miami now to DC just within the past 24 hours). However, still looks like it will be something to monitor over the next week or two, euro has it on the east coast
Posted on 8/29/16 at 11:51 am to CuseTiger
Mother nature stacked, Hawaii fuuuuuucked
Posted on 8/29/16 at 11:52 am to rds dc
there seems to be two storm tracking threads...we need to settle on one...thoughts?
Posted on 8/29/16 at 11:57 am to Chicken
Well, this one is supposed to be a general tracking thread and the other is just for TD9, right?
If not, I'm mistaken and this one should be anchored.
If not, I'm mistaken and this one should be anchored.
Posted on 8/29/16 at 12:00 pm to Chicken
quote:
there seems to be two storm tracking threads...we need to settle on one...thoughts?
This one is for random post on systems that don't look to impact the Gulf or that are way off in model land and the other is for the Gulf system. Obviously, I'll defer to your judgement.
Like, I was just going to post this about Hawaii in here:
Big waves for sure coming up:
Posted on 8/29/16 at 12:09 pm to Chicken
Maybe rename the two threads to clear up any confusion, but I don't have any suggestions because they both are accurate. Maybe if TD9 gets upgraded to a Tropical Storm & gets a name that will help differentiate the two.
Posted on 8/29/16 at 12:15 pm to Chicken
quote:this is the general one while we've been splitting off to other threads as relevant storms pop up.
there seems to be two storm tracking threads...we need to settle on one...thoughts?
gotta have somewhere to discuss the Lionrocks of the world
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:11 pm to Chicken
keep the other with +140 pages
Posted on 8/29/16 at 1:16 pm to Prominentwon
Andrew did
This post was edited on 8/29/16 at 1:17 pm
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:23 pm to poops_at_parties
92L has been designated over Africa, way on the other side of the globe just another sign tropics are still going strong
Posted on 8/29/16 at 7:35 pm to rds dc
The african boner has grown.
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