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Started By
Message
re: Hurricane Season - Nicole only 2nd Cat 3 for Bermuda
Posted on 9/14/16 at 12:18 pm to ForeverLSU02
Posted on 9/14/16 at 12:18 pm to ForeverLSU02
quote:
and another disturbance is right behind it
The odds are pretty low that either makes it across, given that we are transitioning to a more Fall like pattern with more frequent cold fronts.
Old 92L is still spinning in the Gulf:
1
Posted on 9/14/16 at 1:39 pm to rds dc
Blah 
Posted on 9/14/16 at 2:55 pm to ForeverLSU02
Don't think 92 L will develop, TD 12 might have to be watched looks like it will head west for a while then abruptly turns north into a weakness still lots of time to watch with TD 12.
Posted on 9/15/16 at 8:14 am to lsuman25
The models have started trending westward with TD12 but it still looks like it should eventually be able to escape out to sea. A weaker system probably takes the more westward track in the forecasted setup.
And no surprise, TD12 looks pretty barren this morning:
And no surprise, TD12 looks pretty barren this morning:
Posted on 9/15/16 at 8:23 am to rds dc
Westward trend over the last 24 hrs.
12z GEFS from yesterday:
vs.
06z GEFS from this morning:
12z GEFS from yesterday:
vs.
06z GEFS from this morning:
Posted on 9/15/16 at 9:59 pm to rds dc
TD12 has been upgraded to Karl
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:02 pm to rds dc
And Julia could be up to some oddities...
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:04 pm to rds dc
rds dc do you think karl will be any threat to la?
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:04 pm to rds dc
Yea the GFS has it going into the Gulf but it's not strong
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:30 pm to rds dc
That the best model pic ive ever seen
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:31 pm to SohCahToa
That's why they get paid the big bucks
Posted on 9/15/16 at 10:34 pm to rds dc
Map of TS Julia compiled by NHC Forecaster Dukke Peej:
Posted on 9/26/16 at 10:47 am to rds dc
Looks like that system in the Caribbean should be watched by the Gulf Coast. Could be a threat. Expected to develop and could turn northward in the Gulf or steered west towards Mexico.
Posted on 10/13/16 at 9:21 am to deuce985
Posted on 10/13/16 at 9:29 am to rds dc
TS Julia was in your history browser. You may want to clear it.
Posted on 10/13/16 at 9:44 am to El Campo Tiger
This is just the general hurricane season thread that rds was maintaining. It kind of went by the wayside with Matthew, but I couldn't find a Nicole thread so I posted the webcam in here.
Posted on 10/13/16 at 10:00 am to baytiger
quote:
Sweet Webcam from Bermuda
Posted on 10/13/16 at 10:01 am to baytiger
quote:
This is just the general hurricane season thread that rds was maintaining. It kind of went by the wayside with Matthew, but I couldn't find a Nicole thread so I posted the webcam in here.
I thought about starting a late season thread for Nicole and anything that might come out of the Caribbean over the next week to 10 days. However, it looks like the GFS is doing poorly with the MJO and that is resulting in it being too aggressive with development down there.
Nicole is only the 2nd Cat 3 to ever hit Bermuda and this was the first October on record that had two Cat 4 or stronger hurricanes.
Posted on 10/13/16 at 11:41 am to rds dc
quote:Matthew and Nicole took this season from below-normal ACE up to above-normal by themselves
two Cat 4 or stronger hurricanes.
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