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The Big Hawk
| Favorite team: | Iowa  |
| Location: | |
| Biography: | |
| Interests: | |
| Occupation: | |
| Number of Posts: | 20 |
| Registered on: | 12/20/2004 |
| Online Status: | Not Online |
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re: Iowa vs LSU breakdown
Posted by The Big Hawk on 12/12/13 at 8:36 pm to Iowa Golfer
Really, our D relies on two things: ability to stop the run, and ability to pressure the QB. That's it. I am confident in the first, less confident, with a mobile QB, about the second.
On offense, we will spend much of the 1st quarter trying to establish the run, with the exception of obvious passing misdirection plays (pass to fullback, throwback TE screen pass, RB screen pass), with a slant or two thrown in, or maybe a WR screen at the LOS. We won't throw downfield unless we have to.
There's the key: when we HAVE a passing mismatch sort of play, a lot of us do not have confidence that we will hit on it. Something always seems to go wrong--the pass sails, or is dropped, or the WR falls down. That's why the run must be established early for us to win, because then it opens up make-able pass plays.
I still stand by the statement that our run D can and likely will do well for the bulk of the game. But our passing D--unless we pressure your QB the way we pressured Nebraska's--is very vulnerable.
On offense, we will spend much of the 1st quarter trying to establish the run, with the exception of obvious passing misdirection plays (pass to fullback, throwback TE screen pass, RB screen pass), with a slant or two thrown in, or maybe a WR screen at the LOS. We won't throw downfield unless we have to.
There's the key: when we HAVE a passing mismatch sort of play, a lot of us do not have confidence that we will hit on it. Something always seems to go wrong--the pass sails, or is dropped, or the WR falls down. That's why the run must be established early for us to win, because then it opens up make-able pass plays.
I still stand by the statement that our run D can and likely will do well for the bulk of the game. But our passing D--unless we pressure your QB the way we pressured Nebraska's--is very vulnerable.
1
re: To everyone complaining about Iowa. They feel the same way about playing us
Posted by The Big Hawk on 12/11/13 at 7:22 pm to Iowa Golfer
Nearly all Iowa fans are delighted to be in the Outback playing LSU--it's only a few message board idiots who are making an issue of it. And even then, I think it's only because they wanted to see what our defense could do against Johnny Manziel.
But don't sell Iowa short in history. We have perhaps the most respected Heisman winner ever in Nile Kinnick, as well as the first winner ever (from Dubuque, played for U of Chicago). We are 3-1 against the SEC in four bowl games, and were competitive in a fifth (the least said about that game, the better). We have a great stadium, and incredibly loyal fans. We are--last I read--in the top five for putting players into the NFL. We're not some podunk team from the cornfield that's never done anything. We may not have quite as much tradition or success as LSU--nor do we have a bitchin' live Tiger mascot--but we're no dumbass patsy to be sneered at. Yeah, you might prefer playing a Nebraska or a Michigan for the 'name' of it. Well, hate to disappoint you, but we beat Nebraska handily in Lincoln, and held a punchless Michigan to about 50 total yards in the second half of our victory against them. Why would you want to play teams that, well, kind of SUCK? You just might win this game, but at least, when it's over, you'll know you were in a fight.
And what's so bad about that?
But don't sell Iowa short in history. We have perhaps the most respected Heisman winner ever in Nile Kinnick, as well as the first winner ever (from Dubuque, played for U of Chicago). We are 3-1 against the SEC in four bowl games, and were competitive in a fifth (the least said about that game, the better). We have a great stadium, and incredibly loyal fans. We are--last I read--in the top five for putting players into the NFL. We're not some podunk team from the cornfield that's never done anything. We may not have quite as much tradition or success as LSU--nor do we have a bitchin' live Tiger mascot--but we're no dumbass patsy to be sneered at. Yeah, you might prefer playing a Nebraska or a Michigan for the 'name' of it. Well, hate to disappoint you, but we beat Nebraska handily in Lincoln, and held a punchless Michigan to about 50 total yards in the second half of our victory against them. Why would you want to play teams that, well, kind of SUCK? You just might win this game, but at least, when it's over, you'll know you were in a fight.
And what's so bad about that?
re: Iowa vs LSU breakdown
Posted by The Big Hawk on 12/11/13 at 7:02 pm to Iowa Golfer
The keys to this game, as they so often are, rest with a)protecting the QB, b)quality of QB play, and c)establishing the run. Iowa is definitely run-first--if we cannot run, we are likely in big, big trouble. Our WR's are average at best; the TE's are way above average, but can disappear at times.
Same for LSU, I think--if the Tigers can run well, we are in big, big trouble. If we can get a pass rush going, and disrupt their QB, the Tigers are in big trouble. Simple as that.
My gut feeling is that Iowa will run decently, but must get above average play from Rudock the QB to win. LSU won't be able to run well, but if the new QB has any accuracy at all, he may have a field day--Iowa has a habit of laying off new QB's to 'let them make mistakes', only some of them don't, and torch us all day long, as we go into soft coverages and three man rushes, yet somehow WR's end up with no one within 5 yards of them, for easy completions.
This is my big worry--LSU getting 300+ passing yards with about 100 on the ground. It's more realistic a possibility than some will admit.
Assuming turnovers aren't a big factor, I'm predicting a 31-20 LSU win, mainly through the air.
Same for LSU, I think--if the Tigers can run well, we are in big, big trouble. If we can get a pass rush going, and disrupt their QB, the Tigers are in big trouble. Simple as that.
My gut feeling is that Iowa will run decently, but must get above average play from Rudock the QB to win. LSU won't be able to run well, but if the new QB has any accuracy at all, he may have a field day--Iowa has a habit of laying off new QB's to 'let them make mistakes', only some of them don't, and torch us all day long, as we go into soft coverages and three man rushes, yet somehow WR's end up with no one within 5 yards of them, for easy completions.
This is my big worry--LSU getting 300+ passing yards with about 100 on the ground. It's more realistic a possibility than some will admit.
Assuming turnovers aren't a big factor, I'm predicting a 31-20 LSU win, mainly through the air.
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