Favorite team:New Orleans Saints 
Location:Someplace, Somewhere
Biography:I am the hype.
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Number of Posts:10
Registered on:11/24/2020
Online Status:Not Online

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quote:

Excellent point. October inflation in 2021 was 6.2%. So it’s 7.7% above the rate that was 6.2% above Oct 2020.


This is exactly correct. Year over Year is deceptive - especially going forward because inflation was increasing starting this time last year so all numbers going forward are going to drop a bit due to that - not that things are ACTUALLY slowing down.

I don't know why people are mainlining copium that the Fed is going to pivot - or why people keep looking at the CPI numbers.

EVERY SINGLE MEETING Chairman Powell is direct that the Fed is watching the PCE number (Personal Consumption Expenditures), not the CPI. Watch for the PCE numbers in a couple of weeks before even _discussing_ whether there will be a "pivot".

And I don't see a pivot any time soon. Last meeting, Chairman Powell was direct that consumers still had too much money (that's a quote). They're going to keep going until unemployment goes up to help remove consumer liquidity.

re: Why do slippery slopes never not slip?

Posted by Erdeid on 11/11/22 at 8:00 am to
quote:

Entropy naturally increases in a system over time


This is the correct answer. Conservative policies overwhelmingly are about maintaining the order we have created from chaos. Progressives policies simply lead to more chaos - every single time.
quote:

And Republicans keep giving the left plenty to be angry about which has nothing to do with policy. It may energize some on the far right who are just filled with hatred of other people, but I think it does a lot more harm than good for them.


That's funny. Their lack of resolve on actual important social issues was why I left the Republican party and registered Independent.

I'm waiting for a party that will actually take up the Republican conservative mantle - fiscal AND social conservatism. Not 'corporate tax cuts & military interventionalism'

re: Louisianav

Posted by Erdeid on 11/8/22 at 12:06 pm to
I think I'm voting Greene for judge. The Higginbotham family in general have a poor reputation from an EBR attorney friend of mine Crazy stuff with the parents and now the sons - all involved in the judicial system.

Greene would make a good judge and tough enough on crime.

re: EBR School Board

Posted by Erdeid on 11/8/22 at 8:35 am to
The question is, out of all East Baton Rouge parish, why is Bloomberg, Netflix, and other outside money focusing solely on the EBRPSS races (not Zachary, Central, or Baker)?

re: EBR School Board

Posted by Erdeid on 11/8/22 at 8:27 am to
@DoubleB - Why does EBR need more schools? Because here in SEBR we are bursting at the seams. For decades the southeast portion of the parish grew but at the time the powers in downtown didn't want to invest the new money out "in the sticks".

Now, SEBR is trying to play catchup. There's barely any room at all in our existing schools no matter the grade (elementary, middle, high) but we're making do as best we can.

Our representative, Jill Dyason, in District 6 (which covers Woodlawn, Shenandoah, and BASIS Materra) has been fighting to get us some new schools. Like Mr. Gaudet said earlier, the board has approved two new schools down here to help alleviate some of the crazy overcrowding we have.

I think Jill's done a great job for District 6 - the only district I really care about. I don't follow the other district politics. I care about the two schools my kids attend. We've got a new gifted program at Shenandoah for pre-K and all our public schools offer advanced curriculum for both Gifted & Magnet students.

I'm voting to put Jill back in for her last term (term-limited).
I agree EBRPSS is completely broken. I just don't think the problem lies in District 6. But that's just me.

If I could wave a magic wand and get rid of all of them... maybe. But I pulled a lever for St. George with the hope of doing exactly that.

Because without StG as an eventuality, the other option is really just (figuratively) to burn it all down.

Maybe start it all over with Apprenticeships again instead.
What I've been told/know that might be relevant:

Jill is a lifelong Republican and has lived here in District 6 for decades.

Nathan is something, then Republican, then Libertarian, then Republican again because "Libertarians aren't organized". He wasn't registered to vote here in 2018 when St. George kicked off so he couldn't sign either petition (I know this because I volunteered).

I think you can draw a pretty good conclusion from that.
But I don't speak for her. I'm just a voter who happens to love politics. Hence why I have an account here from a while back. You guys have the best debates...
"I will not hold my opponent's youth and inexperience against him."
- Ronald Reagan (October 21, 1984)

In just a couple of weeks, Ronald Reagan would win one of the largest landslide victories in modern Presidential election history over Walter Mondale – winning 49 of 50 states.

Likewise today, a young & inexperienced challenger is running for District 6 school board against an experienced and successful incumbent in Jill Dyason.

Mr. Rust embodied his image of youthful ignorance and unfamiliarity with local politics in his recent comments to The Advocate article below:
LINK

He is quoted as saying:
“If somebody is a sitting school board member and signed a petition to break away from the school board, I question what that says about their own belief in that system and what that says about them as a board member,”

Mr. Rust managed to squeeze 3 major factual errors into a single run-on sentence – while still never signing either petition or even being able to.
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1.) The “petition” Mr. Rust refers to was only to give voters the _opportunity_ to vote on the measure, it was not a vote _for_ incorporation. The referendum would still be decided by an independent popular vote at the ballot box of registered voters in the area.

2.) The new city was created out of the existing unincorporated area. There was no "breaking away" as Mr. Rust claims. But by parroting that specious BRAC talking point he shows he may not be "pro-St. George" as he claims.

3.) The incorporation petition had nothing to do with a new school district. A new school district is a separate process which will require a state-wide vote and does not necessarily even follow the new city's boundaries. Yet he still conflates the two and criticizes Jill for signing as a sitting School Board member.
==========

As someone who has "core Libertarian beliefs", the fact Mr. Rust would support a citizen have their right to petition the government be somehow invalidated is very concerning for civil rights. We even allow the President of the United States to vote for himself in the election!

All of these show a distinct lack of knowledge of the political process or worse an underlying antagonism by repeating the BRAC anti-St. George party line. A line that is still trumpeted by the failing Mayor Broome administration to this very day.

Which brings us to Mr. Rust's campaign's supporter, BRAC. They've recently been cloying to the downtown Baton Rouge city leadership. BRAC has been conspicuously absent lately from any major politics of note (except this school board election for some reason!).

For example, BRAC has been very quiet about Mayor Broome's recent fiasco of a stormwater tax as she tried to shackle EBR citizens with tens of millions in unneeded new taxes. (See attached photo of BRAC standing with Mayor Broome in solidarity.)



Even the Baton Rouge Business Report recently published an op-ed by Mr. J.R. Ball calling out BRAC for their pro-Mayor stances:
LINK
============
"Speaking of silence, where has BRAC been on this scandal? Adam Knapp and the chamber's executive committee need to decide if the organization is a $325,000 puppet of the administration or the voice of the business community."
============

That says a lot about Jill's principles to me when a "puppet of the Broome administration" won’t support her - instead endorsing Mr. Rust.

On to the attack flyers put out by Mr. Scott Wilfong's "Watchdog PAC".
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** FLYER #1 – “Jill Dyason supported a plan to fire Sheriff deputies as school resource officers…just like they have in Uvalde…”
=============
First off, to Mr. Scott Wilfong & the Rust campaign management – you are huckstering political points from one of the worst tragedies in recent memory, on the back of dead students That’s pretty reprehensible. You could have made the same point minus a couple of words but you chose to go there.

But while certainly offensive, it's not surprising. A friend who's known Mr. Wilfong (of Watchdog PAC) for decades described him this way:

"Scott Wilfong is the Taco Bell of politics – everything he touches turns to $hit."

Here's the truth on what Jill’s school security plan actually called for:

• An increase in officer pay from $35/hr to $42/hr to increase retention, quantity, & quality of participants.
• New private officers earmarked for the elementary schools.
• These new officers are _in addition to_ the existing deputies in middle & high schools, which are under an existing contract between EBRPSS, BRPD, and EBRSO.
• Jill was responsible for the proposal and agenda item of to add the additional safety officers (proudly) and is working diligently to ensure our schools are safe. A combined plan which also includes ensuring operational cameras in all schools as well as active shooter training in all schools for all 6000 EBR employees.

Jill has worked to ensure our students are as safe as possible and supports our deputies having all the proper tools necessary to defend our children from whatever or whoever may attempt to harm them. A responsibility she takes seriously.

===============
** FLYER #2 – “We can't afford more of Jill Dyason's bad decisions…"
===============
What bad decisions has Jill made? This should be a relatively easy answer as she's had the opportunity to make hundreds of votes on the board over the years. Our District 6 schools have prospered under her care – more programs, more opportunities, and not just in new selective admission charter schools but in public schools that accept children from all walks of life.

What has Mr. Rust proposed for his Day 1 agenda? With the Rust campaign, there's a lot of “change” but very little sense.


IN CONCLUSION…
We have a choice this time around between an experienced, conservative, and successful representative & advocate for our District 6 children - or an inexperienced political vagabond.

The choice for experience seems as clear here as it was in 1984.
Rust never signed either petition that I'm aware of (volunteer) and his statement in the Advocate about the petition was factually inaccurate:

"If somebody... signed a petition to break away from the school board..."

1.) The petition was only to put the "option" on a ballot, it was not the actual vote.
2.) The petition was about a city, completely independent of the school district (that will require another vote).
3.) He criticized Jill for signing it since she was a sitting School Board member, even though it's her guaranteed right as a citizen - we even let the President vote for himself - so I'm not sure what he's getting at.

He claims he was a Libertarian then turned Republican in April. The statements above seem to counteract Libertarian and Jill is the only one endorsed by the EBR Republican Party.

Honestly, I'm lost as to where he stands on anything except "change".

I've decided pretty much on Dyason. She has one more term left (term limited) so I'll let her finish out then see who runs next time.