Favorite team:LSU 
Location:Abraham's Oasis
Biography:Marine. Pilot to LSU athletics. ISIS worst nightmare.
Interests:HME discovery and elimination
Occupation:Flow master, Bombardier DHC8
Number of Posts:85
Registered on:10/7/2017
Online Status:Not Online

Recent Posts

Message
quote:

Shorts need squeezed a bit more.


Like freshly squeezed OJ.

Started building short position today. Buying SQQQ. My first target is 1800 SPX by summer...probably much sooner.

I wouldn't be buying puts in this environment, particularly if you don't know what you're doing. IV is way too high. You could be right on direction and still lose your arse.
Shorts need squeezed a bit more. We're heading higher, but the lows are not in by any stretch. Elliot Wave analysis that I've read suggests a 5th wave due up to the 2700+ SPX area.

Too many shorts. They need to pay first before we head lower.

Futures positive now across the board.
quote:

More likely Trump's Easter back-to-work commitment caused the Lion's Share market surge.


This is correct, or at least why I flipped long after the failure to take out 2200 SPX cleanly. Long airlines and hedged with SQQQ going into tomorrow. 0730 jobless claims could rock this market hard. 3-5m maybe?

Airlines will get bailed out, they'll hold up relative to the overall market, provided we're back to work.

Lower lows coming without question. How much spring in this dead cat's arse is the question. I'm hoping for 2700, but but not convinced based on today's price action.
"Treason

Pure simple treason"

Nah, little trumpster, I'm a capitalist that understands that there are 2 sides to a market...and it's a zero sum game.

You want a participation trophy?

quote:

Called it.


It took all of 4 minutes after the open. Historic
Please don't bother these people with facts. I'd just as soon take their money. I'm sure they all think the selling and the dying will be over soon.
quote:

States are shutting down, not Trump...he said it best, some places are handling it very well


Really? I can't get to Iraq for work because of states' decisions? Don't think so. I can't get to Iraq precisely because of his decisions.
[quote]It won’t end well for anyone[/quote

You are correct, it won't. And 17k will be a fraction of the end result.

re: I Am Beginning To Tire...

Posted by Threelot on 3/22/20 at 9:43 pm to
The word "beginning" is in your subject line. I suggest you look up the meaning.
They're late to the party and that's the problem. An economy had to be protected, until it couldn't. And then math happens.
This must be the real news, as opposed to the fake news we hear so much about.
One more point to be made about the 4 minute limit down of the S&P futures. Historic...it has never happened this fast...EVER. It is screaming at you, people. Listen!

What is happening in the world is real. And it is devastating on so many levels. Open your eyes and protect what gains you have.

I had this conversation with my dad who is 74 at SPX 2800. Said he couldn't afford to sell. Can you afford to sell? We're at 2200 now. How about 1300, or back down to the 09 low at 666? Open your eyes to what's happening. The only fake news I see anyone reading or listening to is what's keeping you long this market right now.

re: Stock market predictions 3/20-11/3

Posted by Threelot on 3/22/20 at 8:43 pm to
quote:

We will be at 15,000 by the end of the year


Skeezer, I have a Skeeter, so that's close enough for me to like you. There's sanity in your projection.
quote:

Guessing where the markets will be in November is an absolute crapshoot right now.


No it's not. I won't put a number on the SPX, just that it will be much lower than it is now.
quote:

I expect S&P futures to be lock limit down Sunday night before midnight.


I was off slightly. Took 4 minutes after the open. Bounced since then, to trap more longs.

I'm not a social media guy. I'm an LSU fan, with an interest in politics and the markets...and military stuff, which I still do for a living. Infrequently I come around here to see what people are thinking. Never seen group think like this bunch. Some of you people are completely detached from reality.

This market just bitche slapped you. And it's about to sodomize you. Take a look at a chart of the SPX and compare it to any cataclysmic event we've had in our history. What do you see? I see the beginning.

I'll see you again around SPX 1300. By then the US will be leading the world in corona virus deaths. And there's a reason for that to be discussed later. It will be more clear to most of you early November. Heaven forbid you're still long stocks.
It's not a crapshoot. It's far from a crapshoot. SPX closed near it's weekly low taking out the low from 12/18 and closed below it. SPY made new lows in the PM and closed at the low of the week. It's telling you something. You should listen.

I expect S&P futures to be lock limit down Sunday night before midnight.

re: Stock market predictions 3/20-11/3

Posted by Threelot on 3/20/20 at 10:52 pm to
This is the beginning of a bear market. And it's going to last years. The virus is nothing more than a pin prick to burst the bubble that was long overdue to be deflated.

I expect the dead cat to bounce only once the virus is under control. It will look like the bull is back and will die a painful death. That cat is in free fall mode right now. No stopping it. Where's the bottom? I have a minimum target of 1300 SPX. But I will not be surprised if we revisit that dreaded 666 # from the 08/09 financial market crisis. And we may get there faster than you can imagine.

Note the attempts at QEs that have worked in the past have been met with heavy selling. The amount of money offered up is historical and will have no impact.
The Fed can no longer bail us out. A big mac for fiddy cent is right around the corner. But since half the country will be bankrupt no one will be able to afford it.

If you own stocks, get out now unless they are related to a cure or inverse ETFs. Staples of the US economy will no longer exist. Companies like Boeing are already on the brink.

My money is where my mouth is. I have a lot of time on my hands and capital to allocate. I'm short like a mother fricker right now and will be for some time. Enjoy the shite show that is underway. There has never been anything like this before. Don't underestimate its potential to destroy wealth.