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Started By
Message
The Senate polls are grossly wrong
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:42 pm
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:42 pm
Recent history, from 2014 to 2020, 4 different election cycles there have been 48 "close" Senate elections. Close enough that substantial polling was done on the races.
Of those 48 elections:
8 times the Democrat was underestimated in the polls, by an average of 1.8%
40 times Republicans were underestimated by the polls, by an average of 5%
So basically 40 of the last 48 competitive Senate races the Republicans outperformed their polls, usually by a huge margin.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/are-polls-understating-republicans-support
Of those 48 elections:
8 times the Democrat was underestimated in the polls, by an average of 1.8%
40 times Republicans were underestimated by the polls, by an average of 5%
So basically 40 of the last 48 competitive Senate races the Republicans outperformed their polls, usually by a huge margin.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/are-polls-understating-republicans-support
7
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:44 pm to CabtainStabbin
I hope u rite!
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:46 pm to CabtainStabbin
Which again makes no sense trump lost. They stole the electron.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:46 pm to CabtainStabbin
If Johnson doesnt win Wisconsin we fricked
Posted on 9/29/22 at 7:53 pm to Caraway Rye
quote:
If Johnson doesnt win Wisconsin we fricked
If OZ loses, we really fricked.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:06 pm to Caraway Rye
quote:
If Johnson doesnt win Wisconsin we fricked
This year is the first time he's been ahead in the polls before election day. He's been behind by large percentages previously.
And his opponent is as left as AOC. Johnson will win WI easily.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:20 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
Which again makes no sense trump lost. They stole the electron.
Please don't take me back to high school chemistry.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:20 pm to CabtainStabbin
Wouldn't do much good for the GOPe to narrowly win the Senate though, at this point in time. It would kinda be a waste when the House and Senate would both pass bills to forward to Biden that he just wouldn't sign off on. I'd honestly be fine with just a commanding majority in the House, of actual America First representatives.
Then again, I guess it would be ok to gain a slight majority to build upon for [Trump or Desantis] to continue building upon in 2024.
I don't know, I'm just tired and rambling. America really just needs to make this turnip in the oval office into a lame duck for two years, because the damage he's done in his first two years is honestly making Jimmy Carter feel like he did a great job
Then again, I guess it would be ok to gain a slight majority to build upon for [Trump or Desantis] to continue building upon in 2024.
I don't know, I'm just tired and rambling. America really just needs to make this turnip in the oval office into a lame duck for two years, because the damage he's done in his first two years is honestly making Jimmy Carter feel like he did a great job
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:22 pm to CabtainStabbin
Electronic pixel patch switching, no one can tell who you voted for…..
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:22 pm to TigerAxeOK
quote:
Wouldn't do much good for the GOPe to narrowly win the Senate though, at this point in time.
You arent thinking very hard
The fat latina on the Supreme Court could literally die at any moment
If things keep falling apart will definitely retire before 2024
The Senate matters
No wonder it isnt a landslide. People are so fricking stupid.
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 8:23 pm
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:49 pm to oldskule
Oz is losing, so will Johnson, the Dems will keep the Senate and likely gain 1 or 2 seats.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 8:57 pm to FlyingTiger1955
October is going to be very bad economically.
A recession has been accepted by all but the mouth breather Dems. Right now, the markets are falling apart across the world.
And the number one issue for damn near everyone, is the economy.
But sure, the Dems are coming from a position of strength. Everyone is feeling great.
They (the Uniparty) had to cheat their asses off to get an old senile bastard to be POTUS. And things in the country have gotten worse for EVERYONE.
The Polls are outdated, incorrect, and obviously lying.
That said, the people who run polls could probably tell us more about actual cheating than any other people in our country.
But then they wouldn't get paid...
A recession has been accepted by all but the mouth breather Dems. Right now, the markets are falling apart across the world.
And the number one issue for damn near everyone, is the economy.
But sure, the Dems are coming from a position of strength. Everyone is feeling great.
They (the Uniparty) had to cheat their asses off to get an old senile bastard to be POTUS. And things in the country have gotten worse for EVERYONE.
The Polls are outdated, incorrect, and obviously lying.
That said, the people who run polls could probably tell us more about actual cheating than any other people in our country.
But then they wouldn't get paid...
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:00 pm to CabtainStabbin
AZ gone, PN probably gone. It's going to come down to GA and NV.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:03 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
They stole the electron.
That's a serious charge. Are you positive?
This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 6:36 am
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:06 pm to TigerAxeOK
quote:
Wouldn't do much good for the GOPe to narrowly win the Senate though, at this point in time. It would kinda be a waste when the House and Senate would both pass bills to forward to Biden that he just wouldn't sign off on. I'd honestly be fine with just a commanding majority in the House, of actual America First representatives.
Then again, I guess it would be ok to gain a slight majority to build upon for [Trump or Desantis] to continue building upon in 2024.
I don't know, I'm just tired and rambling. America really just needs to make this turnip in the oval office into a lame duck for two years, because the damage he's done in his first two years is honestly making Jimmy Carter feel like he did a great job
Clarence Thomas isn't going to live forever.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:07 pm to Caraway Rye
quote:
No wonder it isnt a landslide. People are so fricking stupid.
Exactly.
Idiots will sit home again and let the dems continue their march.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:08 pm to FlyingTiger1955
Like the journey song says, dream on dream on
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:24 pm to BuckyCheese
quote:
And his opponent is as left as AOC. Johnson will win WI easily.
I dunno. AOC looks moderate compared to that nutjob
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:28 pm to momentoftruth87
quote:
Which again makes no sense trump lost. They stole the electron.
it was senate data.
trump lost by 7 million votes.
ev 306 for the democratic party .
trump got what Hillary got.
same exactly.
Posted on 9/29/22 at 9:37 pm to ksayetiger
quote:
I dunno. AOC looks moderate compared to that nutjob
I think the polls are actually overstating his support. Defunding the police, not paying his taxes, releasing 10K criminals from prison, etc etc doesn't really fly in WI. Johnson has said some dumb things but this guy is wayyyyy out there.
I had a Mandela ad in my FB feed earlier today so I checked some of the comments.
It wasn't good for Barnes. lolzzz
*Being buried with political ads here and it's funny as hell at times. Barnes will come on saying he knew the GOP would lie about him wanting to defund the police, etc. Next up is a Johnson ad showing Barnes stating he wants to defund the police with both audio and visual. (Him with a defund the police tshirt)
This post was edited on 9/29/22 at 9:39 pm
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