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re: Let's think critically about illegal immigration...

Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:20 pm to
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

logical fallacies
quote:

These are enemy combatants.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

You're assuming..it would seem..that the wall is just a wall and once built it's left alone. No patrols..no sensors..no manned posts..no drones, etc.
I'm not assuming that, but there would likely not be 100% coverage. And again, the wall would have a cost, structural maintenance would have a cost, and enforcement would have a cost. And it will never be 100% effective, especially if people can continue to attempt to cross and can learn the patterns of patrols.

I guess I'm looking at this from a cost-effective, utilitarian perspective. If the cost of illegal immigration is X then the closer the polices are to X, then the more limited the utility of the policy.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:25 pm to
[quote] the second offense for entering the country illegally is prison. And then what?

Deportation.

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Felons aside, we are going to spend > $30,000 of taxpayer to imprison them?

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That would be a great incentive to make sure they are seriously tracked. Possible sanctions against Mexico if they don't do their part in monitoring their criminals. That money could offset the cost of incarceration. (I think the 30k/yr. can be vastly reduced.)


quote: . HEAVY fines for anyone employing criminal aliens and those providing false identification documents. Fine. And then what?

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Nothing needed. Crippling fine would end it right there. It would provide incentive for the companies feasting on cheap labor to raise the pay for legal citizens.

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Many of those jobs are probably where they provide an economical benefit, and many of those are in rural places (e.g., farming) where enforcement would be costly as well.

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Why would it be any more costly? Data bases have no limitations on distance.




Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

I'm not assuming that, but there would likely not be 100% coverage.


Where the wall does not cover....well, thats where manned patrols and other methods come in.
Posted by CaptainBrannigan
Good Ole Rocky Top Tennessee
Member since Jan 2010
21644 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:28 pm to
quote:

Surrender or be shot as foreign invaders.


Less than a week and Trumpkins willing to surrender yet another constitutional right, this time the 6th amendment.

You want our government to have the power to murder people without question.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

logical fallacies


They are. You should educate yourself.

I never mention enemy combatants.
Posted by Kraut Dawg
Member since Sep 2012
4520 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:29 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 1/10/21 at 11:13 am
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

Less than a week and Trumpkins


How are you connecting this to Trump??
Posted by themunch
Earth. maybe
Member since Jan 2007
64824 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:33 pm to
Seems you are highly critical of the immigrants.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:33 pm to
quote:

There's a good parody to this argument in a book I read regarding building the Empire State building. My lord the arguments against its feasibility, materials, labor cost, leases, et.al. Put their foot down and said build it. Hard times fell due to the timing of the build, but by the 50's its been 90% full.
But the purpose of a building is to increase and maximize the economic utility of the geographic location. There are clear examples of the risk of building something that that is not used (there are empty cities Spain and China); however, a cost (lack of use)-benefit (use of building) is an analysis that is always necessary.

In fact, skyscrapers have an interesting economic dynamic because they are often planned and built during an economic boom and are completed near or during an economic bust. It's called the Skyscraper Index Hypothesis.

The problem with this comparison is that a skyscraper is intended for economic stimulation; whereas the wall, is a barrier intended to limit a subset of illegal immigration, but not the cause of that immigration, AND it doesn't have such clearly defined economic goals.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Where the wall does not cover....well, thats where manned patrols and other methods come in.
But it would still not be 100% effective unless we covered the entire border, including the WALL, and maximized the methods of enforcement. At that point, it will be costly, so if we are going to increase government and costs, then shouldn't we figure out the utility of that?
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:37 pm to
quote:

I say apply Geneva Convention rules to all illegals coming over the border. Surrender or be shot as foreign invaders.


just make it treason to hire even one.
Posted by ballscaster
Member since Jun 2013
26861 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:38 pm to
quote:

You should educate yourself.


:ignore:
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

It would provide incentive for the companies feasting on cheap labor to raise the pay for legal citizens.
And that would either increase the cost on the consumer AND/OR cause those companies to cease operations. especially since we don't know if enough people will be willing to take those jobs.

Regardless things will likely get costlier for us; if it increases the employment of our citizens, then that would at least provide a benefit. But what if the increase in cost is not offset by that employment? Would it be worth it?
quote:

Why would it be any more costly? Data bases have no limitations on distance.
And how are we going to collect the data for this database. More importantly, the database is not going to enforce the law; people have to actually do that. Are we then going to hire more people to travel the rural areas of the US, enforcing these laws?

Again. I'm saying that these solutions have costs associated with them. To the extent that the benefits (e.g., economic growth; costs of illegal immigration as is) do not offset these new costs, what value are these policies?
Posted by DupontsCircle
Dupont Circle
Member since Jun 2016
5823 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

just make it treason to hire even one.



You have convinced me.
Posted by DupontsCircle
Dupont Circle
Member since Jun 2016
5823 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:47 pm to
quote:

ess than a week and Trumpkins willing to surrender yet another constitutional right, this time the 6th amendment.

You want our government to have the power to murder people without question.




I will compromise with you. All immigrants must speak fluent English and they can stay.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:50 pm to
quote:

But it would still not be 100% effective


What is?
Posted by larry289
Holiday Island, AR
Member since Nov 2009
3858 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:52 pm to
quote:

The problem with this comparison is that a skyscraper is intended for economic stimulation; whereas the wall, is a barrier intended to limit a subset of illegal immigration, but not the cause of that immigration, AND it doesn't have such clearly defined economic goals.

We're going in circles here, and yes the Skyscraper Hypothesis is what I was referring to in part.

The economic gain from building the wall should be a monetary net calculation in theory. You know the cost of giving them gubment benefits, changing our ways of life to welcome them ($cost?), another minority group putting demands (that cost) on our American way of life, etc.

Therefore, the economic goal for the wall is offsetting these costs, both monetary and societal. Another thing I thought of is, why all of a sudden we placing a cost benefit analysis on a wall to keep illegals from entering our country. Hell, none of this is applied to any social programs since the great society...hence no improvements are ever made; just throw more money at it.

The wall would become "hardware" that would be treated and paid as any other hard asset owned by the American people. In this instance our protection against economic, crime and societal ill-forces. It's worth the risk and expenditure in my eye because of the psychological positives for us and negatives to them.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

And that would either increase the cost on the consumer AND/OR cause those companies to cease operations. especially since we don't know if enough people will be willing to take those jobs.


How so? So what if it raises the cost a bit? The benefits of not having your country plagued by criminal aliens should be worth something, don't you agree? Actually that reasoning is the same reasoning of the slave owners of the antebellum South.

"Why, boy...do you know how much those shirts would cost if we had to hire good 'ol Southern boys to pick that cotton?"
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35252 posts
Posted on 11/15/16 at 4:01 pm to
quote:

The economic gain from building the wall should be a monetary net calculation in theory.
I agree. So that analysis needs to be done first.
quote:

You know the cost of giving them gubment benefits, changing our ways of life to welcome them ($cost?), another minority group putting demands (that cost) on our American way of life, etc.
Which is something that is exclusive to the wall. We all agree this is a problem, so why don't we address the actual problem itself.
quote:

Another thing I thought of is, why all of a sudden we placing a cost benefit analysis on a wall to keep illegals from entering our country.
I can't speak for everyone else, but it's always something I consider.
quote:

Hell, none of this is applied to any social programs since the great society...hence no improvements are ever made; just throw more money at it.
I agree. Which is why I don't want to use their poor decision-making methods again.
quote:

The wall would become "hardware" that would be treated and paid as any other hard asset owned by the American people.
More generally (not exclusive to the wall), do we really want more "hardware?"
quote:

n this instance our protection against economic, crime and societal ill-forces.
But I need to know that it will have this effect, especially given the costs, to support it.
quote:

because of the psychological positives for us and negatives to them.
I have hard time justifying something because of vague psychological effects, that may not occur, and are unlikely to be broadly internalized.
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