re: Is Trump in trouble for the 2020 election?

CNN Breaking news: Trump identifies as a woman before run in 2020. Impeachment investigation is transphobic and and has no room in the Dems “logical” universe. Breaking the glass ceiling being the first woman president, changing the course of women in politics forever, and a cherry on top...a Nobel Prize because of being BRAVE!

You'll be hard pressed to get a realistic answer from this board because most have elevated trump to Diety status in their minds, but here is the real truth.

as said before local election results don't have a lot of effect on the presidency.

In the Democrats favor

2016 a lot of Dems sat home thinking Hillary had it in the bag, I think we will see record turnouts in 2020

Regardless of the economy and jobs doing well. Trump has been in full attack mode on anyone who even thinks to disagree with him or his agenda and he's doing it on the public stage. As much as it gets his base all rah rah fired up it turns off a whole lot of moderates and independents who voted for him in 2016.

Whether you like or not the millenials have shifted to an at the very least more moderate and at the most a very left ideology. The make-up of this country as a whole could be majority left leaning

In the Republicans/Trumps favor

Democrats are eating themselves alive with so many candidates they run the trouble of not getting behind someone early and having them duke it out for the nomination with mudslinging turning a lot of voters off.

Also there is no clear message with the Dems Far Left extremism of warren, Bernie vs Moderate business as usual biden may splinter the base.

Trump's base is as secure as I have ever seen a base for a candidate before. He wasn't kidding when he said he could shoot someone in the middle of 5th avenue and still get his base to vote for him.

younger voters usually are all talk and no action. Going off of every trend ever young people just do not vote. This changes as they get older but Trump may be ahead of the wave of left ideology that is inevitably coming in the future.

The optics of the impeachment has a 50/50 shot at least of backfiring spectacularly for the Dems

Trump's in trouble period. He swam into the Swamp uninvited and that's a no no. But with that said I think Trump will be beating his chest after the 2020 GE and the naysayers will up their dosage on their prescribed TDS medications.

A new poll out on President Donald Trump’s approval rating in Midwestern swing states done by Cook/KFF shows that he’s actually got higher rating today than he did on election day in the key states of Wisconsin (42% vs. 35%), Michigan (41% vs. 39%) and Minnesota (41% vs. 35%). Only in Pennsylvania has his approval rating dropped (39% vs. 42%):

Trump job approval in Midwestern swing states (per Cook/KFF)

WI: 42%
MI: 41%
MN: 41%
PA: 39%

His favorability % in those same states on Election Night 2016? PA (42%), WI (35%); MN (35%); MI (39%).

— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) November 7, 2019 LINK

I am laughing at you thinking you are some great arbiter of truth.




Yes I do have a problem with some your assertions.

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Regardless of the economy and jobs doing well.

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People vote with their wallet first.

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The make-up of this country as a whole could be majority left leaning

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I don't think this is true.

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The optics of the impeachment has a 50/50 shot at least of backfiring spectacularly for the Dems

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I think this will backfire greatly on the dems especially in the states that matter the most. So, I think it is more like 75/25.