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House of Rep elections
Posted on 10/22/20 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 10/22/20 at 1:36 pm
Does anyone know how polling is going for various House seats that are up for this election? For example... How well is Illian, or AOC doing? I heard someone in California is tied with a virtually unknown republican candidate.. Anyone have anything?
3
Posted on 10/22/20 at 1:47 pm to Friscodog
I don’t know exact polling numbers for those races, but I can tell you the following facts with certainty:
-We need to flip 17 seats to take the House back.
-When Democrats won the House in the 2018 midterms, many of those key races ended up 51-49. Some of them were only a few thousand votes difference.
-There are over A MILLION voters who voted for Donald J. Trump in 2016 who did NOT vote in 2018.
-Trump is obviously on the ballot this go-round.
-We need to flip 17 seats to take the House back.
-When Democrats won the House in the 2018 midterms, many of those key races ended up 51-49. Some of them were only a few thousand votes difference.
-There are over A MILLION voters who voted for Donald J. Trump in 2016 who did NOT vote in 2018.
-Trump is obviously on the ballot this go-round.
Posted on 10/22/20 at 1:51 pm to Friscodog
Dems will pick up a couple seats in NC due to redistricting. Some Rep seats that flipped D in 2018 will go back R (SC-1) (UT-4) (OK-4). I don’t think the Republicans will flip enough, but they’ll shorten the Dem majority, maybe to single digits
Posted on 10/22/20 at 2:14 pm to Friscodog
I live in a competitive district that is getting a lot of attention. The Democrat incumbent was one of the surprise "blue wave" freshmen who defeated a Republican incumbent in a district Trump easily carried the previous cycle. The amount of money being poured into her campaign is obscene. Every single ad on TV is for her (and most of her ads are trying to portray her as a moderate who will work with Trump and Republicans when she is a dyed-in-the-wool liberal. . She's been desperately campaigning to hold her seat since the day she was sworn in.
Here is the recent District voting history:
2014: 148,000 Republican votes, 90,000 Democrat votes
2016: 218,000 Republican votes, 160,000 Democrat votes
2018: 176,000 Democrat votes, 170,000 Republican votes
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