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re: CBO: Trump’s Tariffs Could Slash Deficit by $4 Trillion

Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:19 pm to
Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13386 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:19 pm to
quote:

It is strange, but if Trump were to reverse course on tariffs, and raise corporate income taxes to generate the same amount of revenue, the left's concerns about the inflationary impact of taxes would vanish.


They'd find something to demonize, even if it wasn't inflation.

I will say, though, that a raise in direct corporate taxes is less guaranteed to cause a reaction from companies than tariffs. Here's why:

1. A smart accountant can strategically avoid direct corporate taxes

2. Taxes are only levied once profits have been made. Taxes on profits aren't operational costs...tariffs are. A tariff can put you out of business by literally making it too expensive to operate. A corporate tax can't do that.

3. Operational costs are tax deductible. So raising the corporate tax isn't anywhere near as likely to cause a company to forgo expansions, promotions, raises, hiring, acquiring assets, etc. because those things are all tax deductible. In fact, in most cases it encourages those things. If a company expands operations and the expansion funds the acquisition of more machinery, real estate, etc., those are assets that increase the company's value, but they got to deduct all of those expenses from their tax bill. Much better to pay for expanded operations to acquire more assets than just pay a bigger tax bill. Direct corporate taxes gives the company that choice. Tariffs don't.

Posted by wackatimesthree
Member since Oct 2019
13386 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:24 pm to
quote:

But that’s not technically the case with tariffs if producers decide to lower prices some to counteract the impact of the tariffs.


But it will cost the economy in other ways. So they only pass along half of the cost of the tariff. The other half will be made up by doing things like laying employees off or canceling expansion plans or freezing raises and promotions. Or the company will simply become less profitable, which means the stock market will react and your 401k value will go down (or rather, fail to rise as fast as it otherwise would).

There's no getting around it. Every dollar that gets siphoned off for tariffs will be accounted for in one way or another.

Now you may say, "Yeah, but the average John/Jane Q. Public won't figure all that out."

And what I'm saying is, they might, with the legacy media's help.
This post was edited on 9/3/25 at 10:25 pm
Posted by Monceau
Member since Dec 2024
109 posts
Posted on 9/3/25 at 10:28 pm to
I agree with your thoughts in terms of if domestic companies decide not to fully pass through the impact of tariffs.

I’m referring, however, to a scenario in which foreign producers lower their prices to those domestic companies to help offset the cost of the tariffs. That’s when $1 of tariffs could equal less than $1 of higher costs to domestic consumers, and given the size of the U.S. market, it’s not inconceivable that foreign producers would accept slightly lower margins to retain market share.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
298501 posts
Posted on 9/4/25 at 9:33 am to
quote:

…you can just ignore facts.


Like Trumps tariffs created new washing machine production jobs at a clip of 800k per job his previous admin.

Those will be your facts. Your tariffs are simply redistributing wealth.

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