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How long before

Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:33 pm
Posted by Tigerguyinexile
Member since Oct 2009
470 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:33 pm
if the well were capped today, how long do you think it would take all the oil leaked into the gulf to circulate out?
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77179 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:33 pm to
About 3 decades.
Posted by Tigerguyinexile
Member since Oct 2009
470 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:35 pm to
30 years?! I was thinking (hoping) maybe two.
Posted by genuineLSUtiger
Nashville
Member since Sep 2005
77179 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 8:58 pm to
Yeah two decades sounds about right. 30 years may have been a stretch.
Posted by eye65
Member since Aug 2009
987 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 10:34 pm to
I don't think anyone knows for sure, but I would think alot of it would degrade and emulsify into smaller particles and surface on the beach as balls...how long that would happen who knows....
Posted by redstick13
Lower Saxony
Member since Feb 2007
40439 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 10:38 pm to
Depends. If we assemble all the blow hard politicians we could probably send it to South America in no time.
Posted by faxis
La.
Member since Oct 2007
7773 posts
Posted on 6/8/10 at 11:58 pm to
Four months
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
24133 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:14 am to
Without seeing any effects at all? Probably 20 years minimum. 30 years max.
Posted by LSUGradATL
Warsawa/ATL
Member since Jul 2007
10497 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:22 am to
Well in Alaska the oil is still in the sound, the beaches are clean but the fishing is dead.

" LINK
Posted by LSUGradATL
Warsawa/ATL
Member since Jul 2007
10497 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:23 am to
Colburn knows from personal experience about the far-reaching impacts of an oil disaster. The Alaskan captain has witnessed the ongoing effects of the Exxon Valdez spill, which dumped 11 million gallons of oil along 1,300 miles of beaches in the Prince William Sound.

"On the surface, it looks like [the Sound] has recovered, but 21 years later, there's still oil all over the Sound, just six inches below the surface. The herring population has never really come back.

"But the Prince William Sound is an enclosed area. They were able to contain a lot of the oil spill, to secure it. It doesn't compare to what's happening in the Gulf. The water is more docile and the oil is spreading over a much wider area. It's massive," said Colburn.

Colburn also offered a warning and some advice for Gulf fishermen. During the Valdez spill, fishing crews were enlisted to help with the clean-up and were paid well -- more than they'd make fishing, said Colburn.

"As soon as the clean-up was over, that revenue stream disappeared and the fisheries were closed indefinitely, so there was no fishing to replace that revenue," said Colburn. "Get your crews out there and try to help with the clean-up, but don't go out and buy a new boat."

The full impact of the oil disaster will be felt for years, and will reach far beyond the fishermen, said Colburn.

"You've got a huge recreational fishing economy down there. How many millions of gallons of fuel won't be bought? How much bait won't be sold at tackle shops? How many cases of beer from the convenience stores won't be consumed? It's going to trickle down, and it's going to hurt for a while," said Colburn.

Posted by mylsuhat
Mandeville, LA
Member since Mar 2008
49840 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 7:31 am to
This

Is not the same as this FWIW
Posted by glb
Atlanta
Member since Sep 2008
1606 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 8:28 am to
quote:

Well in Alaska the oil is still in the sound, the beaches are clean but the fishing is dead.


I think the situation in Kuwait would probably be a better comparison. The climate is more similar.
Kuwait Oil Spill

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
176233 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 8:30 am to
Correct answer is till December 2012 when the world ends anyway.
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4539 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:36 pm to
quote:

Well in Alaska the oil is still in the sound, the beaches are clean but the fishing is dead.
Try washing oil off you hands in 85 degree water then try doing it with 35 degree water. The oil in the warm shallow water, where most aquatic life is, will be almost gone in two to three years with traces for five to 10 years.

Oil breaks down much easier in warm water and the bacteria that breaks it down thrive better in warm water.
Posted by BenHOGan
Kansas City
Member since Sep 2005
1775 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

"But the Prince William Sound is an enclosed area. They were able to contain a lot of the oil spill, to secure it. It doesn't compare to what's happening in the Gulf. The water is more docile and the oil is spreading over a much wider area. It's massive,"


(Seeking a silver lining) - even if the spill in the GoM is larger, wouldn't this fact above work to the GoM's advantage? Seems to me, even if the slick were larger, being more spread out and less concentrated, it would be more susceptible to environmental forces to dilute it and break it down, thus shortening its lifespan in the gulf. That's not to say that the effects won't be severe and long-lasting, but I would think having the oil widely dispersed would help it to break down more quickly and maybe not have as sharp of an impact - at least not as sharp in one concentrated area.
Posted by mylsuhat
Mandeville, LA
Member since Mar 2008
49840 posts
Posted on 6/9/10 at 1:51 pm to
see my posts with the pics above, thats what im getting at
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