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re: So, where is everyone that was saying it wouldnt be deadly in a first world country?
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:28 am to WaWaWeeWa
Posted on 3/9/20 at 10:28 am to WaWaWeeWa
quote:OP isn't talking about any models, he's just posting raw numbers. Show me where he is accounting for unknown infections and recoveries. He's not. Why would you even suggest this?
Are you dumb enough to think that people who deal with numbers all day haven’t accounted for this? It’s included in every single model.
quote:Except we now have a decent sample size of recovered vs. died globally, and there is no indication that the death rate could possibly go up. It can only go down, probably by a very large amount, as the models develop and we learn how widespread it actually is.
And as a counter argument you aren’t including every patient who recently tested positive but hasn’t died yet.
quote:What's funny? We have a century of study and decades of experience with vaccines for the flu. We have a few months of study and no experience with vaccines for this virus.quote:
It would not surprise me at all if, once we have months or years to study this and understand the impact, that this virus turns out to be less lethal than the flu.
It is nowhere close to as scary as the numbers in the OP make it out to be.
Posted on 3/9/20 at 11:27 am to Korkstand
quote:
What's funny? We have a century of study and decades of experience with vaccines for the flu. We have a few months of study and no experience with vaccines for this virus.
Oh I see what you mean. Years from now if it becomes endemic we will be able to manage it better than the flu. I agree that’s definitely possible.
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