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Louisiana Covid-19 CFR Rate
Posted on 7/11/20 at 1:53 pm
Posted on 7/11/20 at 1:53 pm
CFR rate Per LDH data 7/11.
Infection fatality rate is between 3 and 10 times lower. Not having comorbidities would decrease rates below by 10 times.
Cases/Deaths- CFR, IFR range
Total 76803/3295- 4.2%, 1.4%-.4%
70+ 9939/2233- 22.4%, 7.4%-2.2%
60-69 9082/585- 6.4%, 2.1%-.6%
50-59 11478/288- 2.5%, .8%-.2%
40-49 11745/116- .98%, .32%-.098%
30-39 12623/59 .46%, .15%- .04%
18-29 16725/11 .06%, .02%- .006%
<18. 5051/3 .06%, .02%-.006%
Infection fatality rate is between 3 and 10 times lower. Not having comorbidities would decrease rates below by 10 times.
Cases/Deaths- CFR, IFR range
Total 76803/3295- 4.2%, 1.4%-.4%
70+ 9939/2233- 22.4%, 7.4%-2.2%
60-69 9082/585- 6.4%, 2.1%-.6%
50-59 11478/288- 2.5%, .8%-.2%
40-49 11745/116- .98%, .32%-.098%
30-39 12623/59 .46%, .15%- .04%
18-29 16725/11 .06%, .02%- .006%
<18. 5051/3 .06%, .02%-.006%
2
Posted on 7/11/20 at 1:58 pm to Shaun176
Colleges and schools should be open. Those are less than flu deaths for the age groups under 30
Posted on 7/11/20 at 2:09 pm to Cosmo
In 2009, 1100 people under 18 in the US died from Swine Flu between May and September. Only schools that closed were ones that had outbreaks and was only for a few days.
Posted on 7/12/20 at 11:49 am to Shaun176
If the CDC's estimated IFR were applied to Louisiana, that would average up to a difference of 6.46 times between Louisiana's Cfr and IFR. Applied to each age group:
70+ 3.7%
60-69 1%
50-59 .4%
40-49 .15%
30-39 .07%
18-29 .009%
0-18 .009%
70+ 3.7%
60-69 1%
50-59 .4%
40-49 .15%
30-39 .07%
18-29 .009%
0-18 .009%
Posted on 7/12/20 at 11:52 am to Shaun176
The Oschner survey, only antibodies survey I have heard of, put us higher than the CDC's estimate.
Not a ton higher, I think the overall was 1.65%
Not a ton higher, I think the overall was 1.65%
Posted on 7/12/20 at 12:06 pm to fightin tigers
quote:
The Oschner survey, only antibodies survey I have heard of, put us higher than the CDC's estimate.
Not a ton higher, I think the overall was 1.65%
That was based on estimated total case to fatalities in New Orleans in March and April. Mortality has declined in May and June. Louisiana was at 7% overall cfr at the end of April. We are down to a CFR of 4% now.
CFR for May and June alone has been less than 2%.
Posted on 7/12/20 at 1:07 pm to Shaun176
Right, was just saying that is the only study that used local data and didn't apply data from other parts of the country.
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