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Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:07 pm to rds dc
quote:
We look at everything and that has never come up Also, I've never seen it mentioned in a NHC discussion. Same goes for the German ICON model.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:09 pm to bayouman
quote:
Does it look like the the storm might be starting to look better in the last few frames? Looks like the dry air is not there .
The eye does seem to look a little better.
Looks the shear has shifted to being more to the southeast as the storm moves NW and the eye is pulling away from it and the ULL moves south. If she is going to strengthen it will be tonight/tomorrow morning. I think she maintains current intensity, maybe gets back to Cat 3 barely based on NHC forecast. Just my opinion
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:14 pm to Hog cracklin
quote:
Would be interesting to see a replay after all is said and done with all models predictions after every storm
By and large, the NHC 5 day forecast is the best. There are a few times when the Euro beats it though.
ETA - there are some consensus models that beat the NHC, but they don't do so consistently season to season.
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:41 pm
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:19 pm to slackster
1006 mb in the eye of Isaac on the 3rd pass
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:33 pm to slackster
Looks to be moving a bit more NW than projected?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:34 pm to Hog cracklin
Wait... didn’t we have a hurricane named Isaac in 2012??
Are they reusing names now?
Are they reusing names now?
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:36 pm to Tigerbait337
Storm moving into NC Coast. 2 hr difference between pictures.


Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:36 pm to Tigerbait337
quote:
Wait... didn’t we have a hurricane named Isaac in 2012??
Are they reusing names now?
names are on a 6 year rotation
and 2012 Isaac wasn't deemed destructive enough to merit name retirement
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:41 pm to rt3
the eye of Florence is damn near due north of the last eye fix it appears
This post was edited on 9/12/18 at 11:42 pm
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:41 pm to Hog cracklin
quote:
Looks to be moving a bit more NW than projected?
It's supposed to start a more western track soon.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:42 pm to rt3
quote:
the eye of Florence is damn near due north of the last eye fix it appears
I think that cloud cover is misleading about the actual center location. We'll see soon enough.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:45 pm to slackster
Have been seeing reports of looting in Jacksonville already :(. Saw a close friend say that a neighbor called him & just saw a post saying multiple cops reporting down Western (Main strip in Jacksonville)
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:51 pm to slackster
quote:
I think that cloud cover is misleading about the actual center location. We'll see soon enough.
looks like you'll be right... seems the plane found what it was looking for around where it should be if it had remained on its course (instead of the north jump like I thought I saw) and is heading to its next drop point
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:53 pm to slackster
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:53 pm to rt3
quote:
looks like you'll be right... seems the plane found what it was looking for around where it should be if it had remained on its course (instead of the north jump like I thought I saw) and is heading to its next drop point
Sometimes those maps are a little goofy with the overlays too.
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:56 pm to slackster
quote:
Link to NC radar to watch her approach
welp... there goes my desire to be productive for the next few days
Posted on 9/12/18 at 11:58 pm to momentoftruth87
00z NAM rainfall through next 60 hours. A few 32"+ totals NW of Wilmington.
Posted on 9/13/18 at 12:02 am to slackster
31 inches in 2.5 days? Damn.
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