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re: Payton's Inexcusable Timeout Management

Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:08 pm to
Posted by LasVegasBandit
Member since Sep 2013
1881 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:08 pm to
quote:

I'd love to hear all of these people saying the 2:01 timeout was brilliant explain the reasoning behind taking it there and saving ONE second with a timeout. I get that it worked out in the end, but I still don't think a timeout is worth a single second there.



This thread seems played out (8 pages) but I really regret missing it. I'd love to converse with the OP over a beer to flesh out why he feels so passionately that it was the wrong decision.

In summary, your timeouts are more valuable when the opposing team has the ball than when you have the ball because your offense can expedite the time running off between snaps, whereas your defense is powerless to do so.

So a timeout when your defense is on the field saves nearly 40 seconds, but a timeout when your offense is on the field in hurry-up mode only saves about 10-25 seconds because you can always spike it, hurry the play, etc.

And the "2 minute warning" caveat is irrelevant to this discussion. That's what I don't think the OP and his supporters realize. It's a finite occurrence that will happen regardless. It isn't a part of this discussion/debate.
This post was edited on 11/18/13 at 5:16 pm
Posted by Elleshoe
Wade’s World
Member since Jun 2004
143780 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

Second half, he calls a timeout before Hartley's game-tying kick, effectively giving the 49ers the option to use the 2 minute warning to throw/run to the middle of the field and stop the clock.

Then he inexplicably calls a timeout at 2:01 and some people are praising him for this? I know this board doesn't care about things like statistics and percentages, but he traded a timeout to save 1 second. Had Kaep not matched his bone-headedness by running out of bounds, we would have had no timeouts for the final drive.


frick, you are dumb
Posted by Jefferson Davis
Plank Road
Member since Nov 2011
5960 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:19 pm to
I hope this was a joke. Please let it be a joke.
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
70592 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:20 pm to
this alter ego is growing on me Alejandro.
Posted by LasVegasBandit
Member since Sep 2013
1881 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:20 pm to
quote:

frick, you are dumb


Is it as simple as the OP not grasping that Payton wasn't saving "one second" but rather saving "one play"?

That play is worth anywhere from 15-40 seconds depending on how quickly our offense was able to get to the line and run an additional play next time we were without a timeout, correct?
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:27 pm to
Not to mention sf is powerless to review a play until after the two minute warning
Posted by samaham
Georgia
Member since Aug 2009
302 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:27 pm to
It makes no mathematical sense to use a timeout with 2:01 seconds. No matter how you try to spin it you are only saving 1 second. I never have understood the logic of calling a timeout seconds before the 2 min warning.
Posted by LuzianaFootball
DC
Member since Dec 2008
8058 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:29 pm to
quote:

Why is he getting a pass on his Miles-esque TO usage? Just because we happened to win?

He called a timeout on a play that was automatically reviewable in the first half. One might think he would realize what a fool he was being and turn TO calling duties to somebody with a brain, but nope.

Second half, he calls a timeout before Hartley's game-tying kick, effectively giving the 49ers the option to use the 2 minute warning to throw/run to the middle of the field and stop the clock.

Then he inexplicably calls a timeout at 2:01 and some people are praising him for this? I know this board doesn't care about things like statistics and percentages, but he traded a timeout to save 1 second. Had Kaep not matched his bone-headedness by running out of bounds, we would have had no timeouts for the final drive.

Pathetic for a coach earning a salary that big. More pathetic that there isn't more awareness in the fan base to demand an explanation.

-TheSexecutioner


Posted by LasVegasBandit
Member since Sep 2013
1881 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:33 pm to
quote:

It makes no mathematical sense to use a timeout with 2:01 seconds. No matter how you try to spin it you are only saving 1 second. I never have understood the logic of calling a timeout seconds before the 2 min warning.


See, every time I think I get it and start to feel convicted, somebody makes a post like this and I get all confused again.

The one outside-the-box caveat is that it's almost undeniable that by the Saints putting all their eggs in the tiemout basket on that series, you almost guarantee that San Francisco is going to run the ball on that last play so as to hopefully burn as much clock as possible, so that's a non-quantitative aspect of the benefit of taking it at 2:01.
Posted by samaham
Georgia
Member since Aug 2009
302 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:37 pm to
They get paid the big bucks to make these decisions! I just was always good at math, maybe not football??
Posted by TigerBait1127
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
47336 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:44 pm to
It makes mathematical sense if we want them to pass. It can also save us 1 second. 1 second > 0 seconds
Posted by boonies
Lake Charles
Member since Jan 2010
2325 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:45 pm to
The genius of the timeout wasn't how many seconds it saved/lost. It was the influence on SF second down play call. Payton forced the game into Kap's hands and everybody knew it. Everyone knew it was going to be a pass and the d-line almost won the game on that play. Atthat point CSP trusted his defense and Harbaugh didn't.
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

Pathetic for a coach earning a salary that big. More pathetic that there isn't more awareness in the fan base to demand an explanation.

Posted by Dats Who
Down the road
Member since Nov 2012
482 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:51 pm to
Long time lurker, first post here.

I read all 8 pages waiting to chime in and you stole my thunder. It wasn't the 1 second we saved, it was the fact that we made the 9ers run another play before the 2 min warning.

I thought CSP did the right thing.
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:52 pm to
quote:

Dats Who

You're batting 1000 right now, friend.
Posted by Dats Who
Down the road
Member since Nov 2012
482 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 5:57 pm to
Well, I guess it's all down hill from here.

Thread hijack - who is it that helps with avi's? 'Mouth' ?
Posted by redfish99
B.R.
Member since Aug 2007
18649 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 6:17 pm to
Wow, and you were very wordy in your nonsense......
Posted by tspfan
Member since Aug 2013
13 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 6:17 pm to
Payton's time management was pure brilliant. If he let's the clock go down to 2:00 before the tying FG, then SF would have gotten the ball back with about 1:55 left. The way it happened, we started the game winning drive with 1:48 left. Payton knows what he's doing.
Posted by NawlinsTiger9
Where the mongooses roam
Member since Jan 2009
38274 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 6:17 pm to
Let me see if I understand this correctly...

Our head coach managed the clock so that we had a timeout to call with :03 remaining, giving us a chance to end the game with a go-ahead field goal...

And you have found a way to disapprove of this?

Holy frick dude.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
29043 posts
Posted on 11/18/13 at 6:32 pm to
quote:

Second timeout was also pointless. All it does is allow the opposing team the ability to throw the ball without a negative consequence time-wise. If you wait till the 2 minute warning then they have to choose.

The point is you don't want them to have a choice! Why would you want your defense to wonder whether they are going to go for the 1st by throwing, or run the ball (and the clock) to make you burn a TO? By taking clock management out of the decision-making process on 2nd and 19, you essentially force them into a throw, which played right into the Saints' hands considering the way the game was going.

After forcing them into passing on 2nd, odds were pretty good that 3rd down would be long yardage too, so the 49ers were pretty much forced to try to get the first, once again. After all, what's the difference in giving the Saints the ball with 1:41 with 1 timeout, or 1:41 and no timeouts? Not a big difference, and easily worth the chance of actually converting the first to either run more time or possibly even get in FG range. The fact that Kaepernick fricked his team even more by scrambling out of bounds is beside the point.
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