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re: **OFFICIAL** American Idol Season 11

Posted on 5/9/12 at 4:17 pm to
Posted by Gris Gris
OTIS!NO RULES FOR SAUCES ON STEAK!!
Member since Feb 2008
49636 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

I'm calling it. Taking off the Hollie Goggles, She will make the finale and possibly end up winning this thing. I'm serious.


While anything can happen, I think this has a low percentage of hope. I think P2 has the best chance of winning. He's got lots of voters and he hasn't been in the bottom yet, has he?

quote:

It's possible for me to be unbiased at times, Gris


Having read a lot of your library, I don't know that I can buy into that.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

I think P2 has the best chance of winning. He's got lots of voters and he hasn't been in the bottom yet, has he?


I think he has the better chance but I'll explain why I am thinking the way i am. Phillips certainly has the biggest voting fan base currently. He has not been near elimination yet. Hasn't ever been a bottom 3. This clearly shows that he is strong in this competition. But his problem right now comes from having back to back poor weeks. In order to continue to stay out ahead like he has been, this isn't the time of the competition to repeatedly churn out less than stellar performances. Although his voting fanbase is strong, I believe it is also stagnant for the most part. He isn't gaining any new ones as move along and the other contestants are.

Hollie has had back to back great weeks. She is on the rise and I look for her to grab a lot of skylar's votes for those fans that stick around. I have read a good amount of people though that say they are "done with the show" because skylar is gone. But that tends to happen with the country only viewers of American idol.

Joshua has risen in the last few weeks also. This is a big week for him. He may also receive a boost from some of the skylar fanbase. I know it sounds strange but I have read enough on different sites to see that a decent amount of skylar fans are also Joshua fans. I think he will have a solid week. But it will come down to how fast and large Hollie's voting fanbase gets. She could pass him up.

I don't know how to read Bebe's chances right now. She definitely has a strong voting fanbase. She needs a strong week though because she could start to fall. The fate of Joshua and Sanchez comes down to how fast Hollie's voting fanbase grows.
This is fun to analyze
This post was edited on 5/9/12 at 5:00 pm
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

'm calling it. Taking off the Hollie Goggles, She will make the finale and possibly end up winning this thing.

I think Hollie wins it all. Owing to his lack of talent, Phillip has already peaked and will not gain new voters. Skylar's votes will go to Hollie... then Jessica's votes will be split between Joshua and Hollie. Hollie is a shoo-in for the final two... the only question is who the other will be, Phillip or Joshua. I say Joshua.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 5:00 pm to
I actually couldn't disagree with you more.

Hollie gone after tonight. She's been in the bottom week after week after week. If not this week, then next.

Phillip will win, just cause that's how the show has gone (lesser talented, younger, attractive males keep winning). Plus he's still never been in the bottom 2 or 3.

Finale will be Josh/Phillip, IMO.

This post was edited on 5/9/12 at 5:01 pm
Posted by Rex
Here, there, and nowhere
Member since Sep 2004
66001 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 5:04 pm to
We'll see... but I don't think a lesser talent than Phillip has ever actually made it this far. Even Taylor Hicks was a better singer.
Posted by Gris Gris
OTIS!NO RULES FOR SAUCES ON STEAK!!
Member since Feb 2008
49636 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 5:13 pm to
quote:

Finale will be Josh/Phillip, IMO.


That was my prediction after the first show, but I'm not so sure now that Joshua has been in the bottom. I've also looked at his Facebook page and his followers compared to P2's when either of them post are usually as much as 50% less. I just don't know if he'll pick up more.

I still think P2 can pick up more regardless of having not so stellar weeks. The teens voting for BeBe might go to P2. Who knows, though.

I happen to like P2, though I think he's been rough the last two weeks. I like his raspy voice. I think he's more talented than what we've seen on AI, though.
Posted by Gris Gris
OTIS!NO RULES FOR SAUCES ON STEAK!!
Member since Feb 2008
49636 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:21 pm to
Bee, how ya doin'? You excited?

I'm probably going to tape it and start watching after it starts because these 2 hour shows are starting to get long with the commercials.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:34 pm to
quote:

Bee, how ya doin'? You excited?


Yeah, I get pretty excited and anxious around this time.

Got in from work a little bit earlier than usual today and just finished cooking dinner so I'm basically ready to go.

quote:

I'm probably going to tape it and start watching after it starts because these 2 hour shows are starting to get long with the commercials


That's understandable. The commercials are pretty brutal. I'm so glad I watched that voice show last night on DVR. No way I could have made it through if I watched that train wreck live.
Idol moves along a little better I think. Last week, the commercials weren't too bad. There were 12 total performances including the group songs. This week there are 10. So there is at least enough actual performance related air time and hopefully less fluff.
I'll look for your analysis as the show goes on.
Posted by GeaauuxxFan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2011
1370 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:36 pm to
For you, Bee. You can thank me later.


Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

GeaauuxxFan




I haven't seen that one before. Thanks.

Glad to see you back after the rough results show last week
Posted by GeaauuxxFan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2011
1370 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:42 pm to
She looks pretty fierce, doesn't she?!

quote:

Glad to see you back after the rough results show last week


I have to admit, I'm not excited at all like I used to be. I actually think I'm going to have to force myself to watch it.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

She looks pretty fierce, doesn't she?!



I love it.

She is breaking out some personality that Gris said she didn't show earlier in the season.

My favorite pictures from last weeks performances



This post was edited on 5/9/12 at 6:56 pm
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 6:57 pm to


This is such a sad picture
Posted by GeaauuxxFan
Baton Rouge
Member since Oct 2011
1370 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:02 pm to
That is so sad! Poor girls. They became really good friends apparently.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

They became really good friends apparently.



They talked to each other on Twitter a lot this week. I think Skylar was trying to help Hollie get some of her fans.
Posted by Fearthehat0307
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2007
65256 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:04 pm to
bebe chez looks ready
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:04 pm to
quote:

bebe chez looks ready to leave



FIFY
Posted by Fearthehat0307
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2007
65256 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:05 pm to
my girl is back
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
42507 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:06 pm to
Saxophone player is back Hat!
Posted by Fearthehat0307
Dallas, TX
Member since Dec 2007
65256 posts
Posted on 5/9/12 at 7:06 pm to
i am actually liking this
This post was edited on 5/9/12 at 7:07 pm
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