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re: Why is Houston only a 8.5 favorite over Cincinnati for tomorrow night?

Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:14 pm to
Posted by TheWalrus
Land of the Hogs
Member since Dec 2012
46135 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:14 pm to
ESPN magazine had something about how Cincy was the unluckiest team in turnovers last year and Houston was the luckiest. Obviously Houston beating OU proves they're no fluke though.
Posted by vengeanceofrain
depends
Member since Jun 2013
12465 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:18 pm to
I assure you I gamble more than everyone in this thread combined lol and honestly it's not close. And I don't even need to know how much. Just on horse racing. shite I'm betting in Japanese tracks i can't pronounce


If this was a morning line or a tote board I'd be more at home. Damnmit I would wager on Houston to win by more than 8.5 points lol. I don't really understand the concept of non pari-mutuel wagering. Like in horse racing if Houston was 8.5 to 1 I know I get 19 dollars for every 2 wagered I can do that math off the top of my head. I have no clue how much you get if Houston covers
This post was edited on 9/14/16 at 9:22 pm
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
60919 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:19 pm to
Contrary to current popular opinion in the media Houston is not going to just blow their AAC schedule away by double digits week in and week out.

There are several teams not named Louisville that still have a great shot at beating them.
Posted by vengeanceofrain
depends
Member since Jun 2013
12465 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:25 pm to
There really isn't another AAC game on their schedule that should be close. Maybe ucf
Posted by Dr RC
The Money Pit
Member since Aug 2011
60919 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:33 pm to
UCF is terrible and Houston will wreck them.

Cincy, Tulsa, and Memphis are the teams that have a solid shot at winning. If Navy can chew up the clock they'll have a chance too. Then Houston would have to win the AAC title game which would be vs another solid team.

Hell, I know Ward was out but mediocre as all get out UConn beat them last year.

They will be favored in every game for the rest of the year but their talent level isn't such that they blow the rest of the conference out of the water.
This post was edited on 9/14/16 at 9:35 pm
Posted by DawgFanatic17
Member since Mar 2016
37 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:36 pm to
Houston was lucky to beat Cincinnati last year. Home game for Cincy at night, short week. Greg Ward Jr. not 100%. Cincy looked bad week 1 but improved week 2. Hayden Moore has shown flashes. There's upset potential here. That's why it's only 8.5
Posted by vengeanceofrain
depends
Member since Jun 2013
12465 posts
Posted on 9/14/16 at 9:37 pm to
Not against l'ville. Only a 39% chance to win that game according to ESPN
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