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re: Power rankings after week 6
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:33 am to gizmoflak
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:33 am to gizmoflak
all he does is take the team rankings in 6 league wide stats and add them together to get their "number"
which is why a perfect score would be 6 (6x1) and the worst team ever would be 192 (6x32)
that is it, there is nothing else to it so I don't know how laughable it is when there is zero human element to it and it is just a compilation of team statistical rankings.
which is why a perfect score would be 6 (6x1) and the worst team ever would be 192 (6x32)
that is it, there is nothing else to it so I don't know how laughable it is when there is zero human element to it and it is just a compilation of team statistical rankings.
2
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:35 am to supatigah
Redskins are way too high.
Also, the Chiefs are higher than the Raiders but the Raiders have two wins the the Chiefs one win? As a matter of fact, the Raiders beat the Chiefs already
Also, the Chiefs are higher than the Raiders but the Raiders have two wins the the Chiefs one win? As a matter of fact, the Raiders beat the Chiefs already
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:43 am to supatigah
quote:
all he does is take the team rankings in 6 league wide stats and add them together to get their "number"
what a nitty way to devise a ranking system
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:45 am to supatigah
quote:
zero human element
I see statements like "teams ranked higher would be favored over lower teams" putting human element interpretation into it. In the worst way at that, as there's no basis for this thinking beyond "well the addition of their rankings was a lower number."
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:47 am to supatigah
Is this a new NFL BCS ranking system?
This post was edited on 10/22/09 at 11:47 am
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:47 am to Eternalmajin
BTW, lots of "stats" are accumulated in garbage time when games are no longer in doubt
Posted on 10/22/09 at 11:48 am to LSU-MNCBABY
quote:
I realize how your system works, and am starting to drink the denver kool aid, but they wouldnt be favored against the 4 teams directly below them. They were 4 point dogs to the chargers
He isnt saying this is how VEGAS would view them.
And seeing as Denver beat SD by 11 your point about SD being favored by 4 HELPS his position.
Posted on 10/23/09 at 11:36 am to supatigah
someone said I disagree with vegas.
Vegas doesn't have an opinion about which team is better or will win
The pointspread is not the handicapper’s predicted margin-of-victory, but it is in fact the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams.He pays the winners with losers money and keeps 10.00 for every 100.00 won. Point spreads are changed to manipulate the bets made one way ot the other- nothing to do with team strenghs in any way.
learn about vegas here LINK
Vegas doesn't have an opinion about which team is better or will win
The pointspread is not the handicapper’s predicted margin-of-victory, but it is in fact the handicapper’s prediction of what number will be required to split the wagering evenly on both teams.He pays the winners with losers money and keeps 10.00 for every 100.00 won. Point spreads are changed to manipulate the bets made one way ot the other- nothing to do with team strenghs in any way.
learn about vegas here LINK
Posted on 10/24/09 at 8:42 am to supatigah
Posted by rondozombie on 10/22 at 11:48 a.m.
quote:
I realize how your system works, and am starting to drink the denver kool aid, but they wouldnt be favored against the 4 teams directly below them. They were 4 point dogs to the chargers
They weren't 4 point underdogs to the chargers. The betters had to offer 4 points to even up the betting on the other side. They want the betting as even as possible. Has nothing to do with who is favored or by how many points
What I do is not rocket science- I add up where the teams are ranked in stopping the run, running the ball, stopping scoring, scoring, pass defense, and pass offense
I call the difference in rank in any of these areas a team unit. So there is a possible difference between teams of 192
You are right about the Broncos not being favored over the pats,giants,steelers,or colts. There are only 10 tem units difference betweem them.
If you read my weekly matchup blog you will notice I point out that any two teams within 8 points is too close to call because over the years I have found that they usually split the games 50-50.
I also point out that it doesn't matter where the colts are ranked the way I add things up because peyton can beat the system.So their ranking is meaningless.
The same is true of Brady, Brees when he is having a great year, Warner one year, and Favre 1 year.
week 6 means nothing to me- I just want to watch the cream rise to the top by week 17. The top 12 best teams are usually there. It usually gets more and more accurate as the year goes on.
quote:
I realize how your system works, and am starting to drink the denver kool aid, but they wouldnt be favored against the 4 teams directly below them. They were 4 point dogs to the chargers
They weren't 4 point underdogs to the chargers. The betters had to offer 4 points to even up the betting on the other side. They want the betting as even as possible. Has nothing to do with who is favored or by how many points
What I do is not rocket science- I add up where the teams are ranked in stopping the run, running the ball, stopping scoring, scoring, pass defense, and pass offense
I call the difference in rank in any of these areas a team unit. So there is a possible difference between teams of 192
You are right about the Broncos not being favored over the pats,giants,steelers,or colts. There are only 10 tem units difference betweem them.
If you read my weekly matchup blog you will notice I point out that any two teams within 8 points is too close to call because over the years I have found that they usually split the games 50-50.
I also point out that it doesn't matter where the colts are ranked the way I add things up because peyton can beat the system.So their ranking is meaningless.
The same is true of Brady, Brees when he is having a great year, Warner one year, and Favre 1 year.
week 6 means nothing to me- I just want to watch the cream rise to the top by week 17. The top 12 best teams are usually there. It usually gets more and more accurate as the year goes on.
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