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re: OFFICIAL Week 2 CFB bet thread™

Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:03 am to
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:03 am to
quote:

I think that line is too low. Zona is gonna score a bunch. I don't think UTSA can keep up.



I'm likely on it with you. Kind of a square bet though but I try not to look into that too much.
Posted by Joe Mantegna
knoxville
Member since Oct 2007
9504 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:36 am to
quote:

I think that line is too low. Zona is gonna score a bunch. I don't think UTSA can keep up.


I agree...I like that line a lot.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18008 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:43 am to
Just about dead even from week 1:

LOSS - Houston -11
LOSS - Arkansas +20
LOSS - Kent state -2.5
WIN - Wake/ULM Under 46
WIN - Teaser - WVU +33 and Ala/WVU Under 62
LOSS - South Carolina -10
WIN - Rutgers Over 14 (2H)
WIN - Penn State +2
WINx2 - Baylor -21 (1H)

I like Arizona too, but probably won't bet unless I get a chance to sit down and watch tomorrow night. Very interested in Baylor line when it comes out too.
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
25952 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:55 am to
Over is the play in the Arizona game
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
25952 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Already played Akron +14 for Week 2.


You could have gotten it at +16 earlier in the week

Lots of money coming in on Akron and rightfully so. They will make a bowl this year, improved MAC team
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 10:04 am to
You can get Zona -7 +100 at The Greek right now.

This line scares me a little because apparently 76% of the bets are coming in on Zona but the line isn't moving?

LINK
This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 10:25 am
Posted by goldennugget
NIL Ruined College Sports
Member since Jul 2013
25952 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 10:18 am to
I don't mess with road favorites in Thursday Night games
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 10:22 am to
I'm on Packers +6 tmr so I'll be passing on that Zona game, will certainly be curious about that result.

Keep in mind Utah St took a ton of sharp money then got drummed last week. This one is really pointing towards a stay away though.
This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 10:25 am
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18008 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 10:23 am to
I thought the Thursday night home shenanigans have calmed down a bit. I think I backed home dogs last year a lost a couple times.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 11:34 am to
BGSU lost their stud QB for the season, hip injury.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8700 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:08 pm to
quote:

You could have gotten it at +16 earlier in the week


Yea I think my guy opened it at 15.5 or 15 on Monday, I did a little research and thought it would be okay to wait until morning because I was exhausted after the LSU game in Houston...wake up and it had already dropped to 14 :/
Posted by geauxtigs99
NY
Member since Dec 2005
1261 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:15 pm to
Liked Michigan St at first glance but not so sure now after looking at weather forecast. 97 Saturday plus a flight to west coast, just wondering how that defense will hold up against that Duck offense come 4th quarter.
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8700 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 12:31 pm to
Oregon or nobody for me.

People want to point to the Oregon/Stanford games but I don't think Michigan state's front 7 is as good as those teams...they lost some key players.

Also, you don't even have to go back that far to see Oregon's offense be incredibly successful against a physical defense- look at Wisconsin/Stanford in 2011, Stanford in 2010.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 1:08 pm to
Oregon played only three decent teams last year (Stanford, Arizona, Oregon St) and wouldn't have covered 12pts in any of the three.

Michigan St has more defensive production coming back than ppl realize in Drummond, Waynes, Calhoun and Jones. On offense, State has Cook and Langford back as well as 90% of their total offensive yardage output from 2013.

Love Mich St here. Lots of big game experience plus production will mean the cover.

Oregon 31-27 is my prediction.

This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 1:12 pm
Posted by au21tigers
Thursday
Member since Nov 2009
12548 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 1:15 pm to
It's at 11.5 now. Hope it goes up.
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 1:20 pm to
Oregon hasn't closed less than a 2 TD favorite at home since October 2, 2010.

This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 1:21 pm
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
18008 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 2:04 pm to
Anyone like Alabama? Line right now is 40.5. I normally like to look at taking big underdogs, but I'm thinking Alabama may be looking to rebound after letting WVU hang around last week. I just haven't looked up much on FAU yet though...
This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 2:05 pm
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25612 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

Anyone like Alabama? Line right now is 40.5. I normally like to look at taking big underdogs, but I'm thinking Alabama may be looking to rebound after letting WVU hang around last week. I just haven't looked up much on FAU yet though...



A ton of sharps were pounding FAU +22 @ Nebraska last week and FAU got completely dominated by 48 points.

I would lean Alabama here, but FAU was a huge disappointment last week and they could be in for a rebound. I did see FAU's QB is questionable for this game as well, which likely works in Bama's favor. FAU is a run-heavy team that would play right into Bama's hands (unlike West Virginia).
This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 2:08 pm
Posted by BayouBengals03
lsu14always
Member since Nov 2007
99999 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 2:20 pm to
What are everyone's opinion on UTSA?
Posted by BeYou
DFW
Member since Oct 2012
6036 posts
Posted on 9/3/14 at 2:39 pm to
quote:

What are everyone's opinion on UTSA?


Honestly, I thought Houston was worse than UTSA was good. Yes, UTSA does return a bunch of starters. Their offense though (new QB) was meh, it consisted of run up the middle, run up the middle, run off tackle. Maybe a 5-7 yard pass (most likely a screen pass) thrown in their too. I don't think their QB completed a pass further than 15 yards against Houston.

Houston also turned the ball over 6 times, 2x in the red zone and once on their own 5 yard line (easy UTSA TD).

UTSA OLine and DLine did dominate the game. They rotated every position on the DLine and the fresh players helped them stop the run (Houston had -25 rushing yards. Very physical units, outside of that, I don't think UTSA has much.

I don't think UTSA will be able to manhandle Zona OLine and DLine like it did with Houston. I think Zona wins by 10.
This post was edited on 9/3/14 at 2:40 pm
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