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re: OFFICIAL Week 13 CFB Betting Thread

Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:00 am to
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:00 am to
quote:

And I have way more audacity than that, holmes.


Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:07 am to
Same ole shite show around here I see
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:12 am to
SystemsGo= BobbyRay/KidBorboun.

How many names will this dude keep creating? O/U 12
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 9:13 am
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32596 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:12 am to
can we not dilute this thread with bickering. I find it useful from time to time when i dont have to dig through the bs. There should be some set of rules.
1. discuss the lines and who you like and why
2. dont discuss after the game putting down on other posters or boasting that you won if you didnt post your picks before the game. Because all this does is make you seem like an imature child.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:12 am to
It just blows my mind that Bobby comes in here to argue against RLM using a single data point. I didn't even bet the game but I can't sit back and watch him destroy this thread with his illogical rationale.

Worked out perfect that last night I compiled my 2014 posted play record with most of the plays coming from money analysis only which he doesn't believe in... Good luck beating that 67.9% with "football" analysis.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:15 am to
I agree. I just love how this is a "bet" thread yet he wants to place no bets. Just give his opinion like somebody gives a frick. For the people that dont have their own system is going to take someones word that actually posts plays. Not just some jackhole giving his opinion.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:27 am to
his shtick has been going on for years now .

and the reason he no longer posts his picks is because of his past "locks of the week" which would almost always lose; he'd claim "FREE MONEY" and then get owned.

here is one thread from 2012.

LINK

Basically what we have here is a table with Free Money scattered all over it. You can either grab the Free Money off the table and go your merry way, or you can come up with a million stupid arse reasons why you shouldn't stuff those free legal tender notes in your pockets, and in your socks, and in your boxer briefs. Me? I'll be rubbing my nutsack with that Free Money. I can let you smell it if you'd like.

Don't ever research your way out of Free Money. Arizona sucks at football. Oklahoma State is good. Analysis over.


and of course Arizona won the game by 21
This post was edited on 11/19/14 at 10:19 am
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32596 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:28 am to
so you are saying that this an alter for peej?
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:44 am to
Possibly, I think it's is bobby ray/ kidbourbon as you notice he was all over this thread. But now he has disappeared and this arse hat took his place
Posted by BaylorTiger
Member since Nov 2006
2083 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:45 am to
quote:

Oklahoma St.


FYI, 90% chance of rain and thunder storms in Waco this weekend. I know the persona is that BU is pissed and going to come out making a statement, etc...however, I'm going to be playing this in favor of OSU.

OSU has a good history of being able to scheme well against the BU defense.
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:47 am to
Anyways as my eyes have been opened ALOT to reading money and line movements and have done pretty well with such this year. It is going to be very hard for me to lay off the teams needing to win "impressive" with only 2 weeks left for most.

Baylor, Moo St, and tOSU are all vying for that last playoff spot. Which I think you will get very focused teams these last 2 weeks. Would be very hard for me to believe they will not show up and be ready to play
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 9:48 am to
Good to know with the weather. That could very well play a big part in BYlors passing game
Posted by Carson123987
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
67788 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:02 am to
quote:

INK /

Basically what we have here is a table with Free Money scattered all over it. You can either grab the Free Money off the table and go your merry way, or you can come up with a million stupid arse reasons why you shouldn't stuff those free legal tender notes in your pockets, and in your socks, and in your boxer briefs. Me? I'll be rubbing my nutsack with that Free Money. I can let you smell it if you'd like.

Don't ever research your way out of Free Money. Arizona sucks at football. Oklahoma State is good. Analysis over.

and of course Arizona won the game by 21


holy shite
Posted by oleyeller
Vols, Bitch
Member since Oct 2012
32596 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Baylor, Moo St, and tOSU


im always afraid of those big lines unless im on the dog side.. i dont know why but im always afraid to lay money on a fav that big
Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:13 am to
I got Baylor at 27.5 yest so at worst I will middle it if weather is crazy or something. Supposedly Garman is out for OSU and if thats the case they will be starting a freshman qb
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3755 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:15 am to
quote:

Total Recap - 36-17 at a ridiculous 67.9% on all posted plays...


Very nice record. Doesn't get much better than that. You going to increase your wager amount next year?
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:24 am to
I always bet 2% of bankroll so my wager amount varies as the bankroll number does. My bets are about 35% bigger right now than the were Week 1... I prefer to flat bet a % of bankroll as I think I can identify an edge in games but can't quantify the degree of the edge accurately.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41887 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:24 am to


Posted by blades8088
Covington
Member since Nov 2008
4295 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:29 am to
Posted by Zipfer2022
Member since Nov 2011
3755 posts
Posted on 11/19/14 at 10:52 am to
So I'm estimating your roll is around 15k. Seems like a sound methodology. I know I usually get burned anytime I stray away from flat betting. Maybe others here can assess when they have an advantage, but not me.

Frustrating because my record is solid, but I'm around even on the year. It is one of the changes I am implementing going forward and into next year.
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