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Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:35 pm to beaverfever
I'm very impressed with Sonny Dykes, he's the first coach I've ever seen actually do the go for 2 when down 14 thing beyond the high school level.
Its mathematically far superior than kicking the PAT.
If you make it you're down 6 and in position to win the game instead of tie
If you miss it you're down 8 and you still have the opportunity to tie if you get the next 2.
If you run the conditional probabilities you win the game more often by the 2 point strategy.
The goal is to win the game, not force overtime. Forcing OT is a loss as often as a win and playing to force overtime strategy is playing to lose 50% of the time.
Its mathematically far superior than kicking the PAT.
quote:
Can someone tell me why they went for 2?
If you make it you're down 6 and in position to win the game instead of tie
If you miss it you're down 8 and you still have the opportunity to tie if you get the next 2.
If you run the conditional probabilities you win the game more often by the 2 point strategy.
The goal is to win the game, not force overtime. Forcing OT is a loss as often as a win and playing to force overtime strategy is playing to lose 50% of the time.
This post was edited on 11/2/19 at 10:41 pm
Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:36 pm to PEPE
quote:
I'm very impressed with Sonny Dykes, he's the first coach I've ever seen actually do the go for 2 when down 14 thing beyond the high school level.
Its mathematically far superior than kicking the PAT
Calling a few of those runs, especially the one on first and goal from the 9, made his 2 point strategy moot.
Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:48 pm to PEPE
quote:
If you make it you're down 6 and in position to win the game instead of tie
If you miss it you're down 8 and you still have the opportunity to tie if you get the next 2.
If you run the conditional probabilities you win the game more often by the 2 point strategy.
The goal is to win the game, not force overtime. Forcing OT is a loss as often as a win and playing to force overtime strategy is playing to lose 50% of the time.
To make matters worse, people act like kicking the PAT twice is a guarantee. The reality is you'll miss one of them about 8% of the time, on average. A team like SMU is likely to miss one over 30% of the time.
Posted on 11/2/19 at 10:59 pm to 9Fiddy
I got SMU at 6.5 
Useless backdoor cover!!!!!
Useless backdoor cover!!!!!
Posted on 11/3/19 at 11:04 am to Henry Jones Jr
quote:
frick Memphis
Counterpoint - frick you and suck my dick.
Posted on 11/3/19 at 11:11 am to AlonsoWDC
quote:
Counterpoint - frick you and suck my dick.
That's not very hospitable of you. He's bitter. Remember, Henry's still gotta put up with Matt Luke.
And... think about this... Norvell goes to Arkansas and Memphis hires Hugh Freeze. That'd REALLY make Henry's head spin.
Although, given the recent performance of AAC coaches when the move to a Power 5 conference, are teams still willing to take a risk on one?
You have Chad Morris sucking it up at Arkansas, Scott Frost (the most overrated coach in NCAA football) sucking it up at Nebraska and former Memphis coach Justin Fuente not exactly meeting expectations at Va. Tech.
This post was edited on 11/3/19 at 11:19 am
Posted on 11/3/19 at 11:18 am to SSpaniel
I hope Matt Luke stays forever.
Ole Miss can't even blatantly cheat and still win anything that matters.
Ole Miss can't even blatantly cheat and still win anything that matters.
This post was edited on 11/3/19 at 11:19 am
Posted on 11/3/19 at 11:23 am to SSpaniel
You are selectively picking former AAC coaches to fit your narrative. Some have had success.
Posted on 11/3/19 at 11:28 am to SSpaniel
Norvell leaves for a USC, Miami level job.
He ain't leaving for the Arkansas or Ole Misses of the world.
He ain't leaving for the Arkansas or Ole Misses of the world.
Posted on 11/3/19 at 12:50 pm to BearsFan
quote:
ou are selectively picking former AAC coaches to fit your narrative.
That's just the last 3 I could think of that have left.
Ahh.. I honestly forgot about Herman, Rhule and Taggert. Sort of pokes holes in my thinking, doesn't it?
Posted on 11/3/19 at 12:52 pm to SSpaniel
I told you Memphis would get the Ponies. Was way closer than expected. If Memphis doesn’t have the 2 returns we may have had a OT game. But it was a good ride good game
Posted on 11/3/19 at 2:12 pm to sms151t
Shouldn't have been nearly that close.
Horrible officiating. Took at least three Memphis scores off the board. Gave another score to SMU.
Horrible officiating. Took at least three Memphis scores off the board. Gave another score to SMU.
Posted on 11/3/19 at 2:18 pm to AlonsoWDC
quote:
Took at least three Memphis scores off the board. Gave another score to SMU.
They did their darndest to protect the lone AAC undefeated team. Memphis just wouldn't let them do it.
In all seriousness, if both teams do what they whould do, the day after Thanksgiving looks to be another top 20 matchup for the AAC at the Liberty Bowl. It HAS to be a national ABC games, doesn't it? Nobody else worth anything is playing, are they?
Posted on 11/3/19 at 2:47 pm to SSpaniel
Probably will be.
Our game on Black Friday v. Houston in 2016 was on ABC too.
Our game on Black Friday v. Houston in 2016 was on ABC too.
Posted on 11/3/19 at 2:58 pm to sms151t
I didn't make smu lose.
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