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re: Kentucky Derby Prediction Thread

Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:01 am to
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:01 am to
Cant. I'm a girl.

Plus, I think he doesn't feel like rating and takes off after falling sky. I'm actually counting on it to ensure a good pace. I think we will have a mid pack winner this year.
This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 10:04 am
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10533 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:04 am to
alot of people will be pissed when power broker blazes down the first turn ahead of the pack.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:05 am to
He's not entering.

Baffert has nobody running this year

Both he and code west got their asses kicked by a girl last week.
This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 10:07 am
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10533 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:07 am to
i thought he was in already? well pay no mind to me then
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 10:08 am to
Nope. Midnight lucky easily wiped the floor with him.

She did the same with code west yesterday

Oaks tri box:

Julia, beholder, lucky, close hatches. Hoping Julia off the board in a bounce, but covering my arse just in case
This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 10:09 am
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 11:47 am to
Tiz a minister isn't coming now.

Maybe 19 horse field after all
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 2:58 pm to
Fear t kitten is in. But who rides? Rosie is usually up.
Posted by Kickadawgitfeelsgood
Lafayette LA
Member since Nov 2005
14090 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 3:10 pm to
Any word on Valor and Motion possibly entering Crop Report?

Taking a wait and see on the possibility
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 3:20 pm to
No points.

As of tomorrow, minus animal kingdom, all valor horses will be trained by someone else. They fired motion. Irwin kinda seems like a huge pain in the arse.
Posted by Kickadawgitfeelsgood
Lafayette LA
Member since Nov 2005
14090 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 3:50 pm to
Thoughts on Lines of Battle?

I understand the Dubai thing but his lack of work at CD seems intriging to me

Your thoughts on Vyjack. Undefeated without lung infections.lol
Posted by Kickadawgitfeelsgood
Lafayette LA
Member since Nov 2005
14090 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 3:52 pm to
BTW, I'm giving Overanalyze a huge shot if his trip is clean.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 4:03 pm to
Another of the field that I question his breeding for the race, but he's looked strong galloping. Rudy had to get into him a lot to finish in his last work, though

NO CLUE on lines of battle, but I bet him in UAE derby. I'll wait til post is drawn
This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 4:04 pm
Posted by Monkeyboy
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2007
783 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 6:17 pm to
Lines of Battle intrigues me. Looks like he's bred to handle the distance, just not sure if he's fast enough or how he'll handle the surface. I'll be interested in hearing how he looks when he gets to Churchill Downs.

I could be wrong, but there doesn't seem to be a lot of speed in the race. Any chance Oxbow could take the lead and wire the race?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/29/13 at 6:36 pm to
He may, but I'd expect him to stalk. I think falling sky heads out to the front, then goldcents drags Kevin up too. I see Verrazano sitting 3rd or so. Of course, that could all change after pps are drawn.

They won't have oxbow far back, though.
This post was edited on 4/29/13 at 6:37 pm
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 7:21 am to
Oak draw at 11 am today

Derby entries due tomorrow at 10am, then the draw at 5pm tomorrow
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 8:24 am to
quote:

@DRFWelsch: Interesting to note all Pletcher Derby horses galloped this a.m. except Revolutionary who came out in bell boots and just jogged.#KyDerby


Well, frick. Pletcher is nothing if not consistant. Wonder if he's got a shoe they are worried about?
Posted by Me Bite
A.K.A. - Bite Me
Member since Oct 2007
7149 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 2:15 pm to
quote:

except Revolutionary


So he might not run?
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
114225 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 2:34 pm to
He will, he just jogged. Bell boots make me wonder of he's about to toss a shoe. That's what we use them for, the protect shoes.
Posted by arseinclarse
Member since Apr 2007
35042 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 2:56 pm to
Are you giving a final report Friday?
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
118102 posts
Posted on 4/30/13 at 2:58 pm to
Talk to Max Saturday. You gonna bet on it?
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