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re: Derby Hopefuls for this year?

Posted on 5/6/11 at 8:19 am to
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 8:19 am to
One more day until the Derby folks!

BIGGEST news obviously is that Uncle Mo will not run in the Derby

quote:

LOUISVILLE, Ky. -- Uncle Mo isn't running in Saturday's Kentucky Derby.

Owner Mike Repole says the colt has been scratched because he hasn't recovered enough from a stomach ailment to run in the 1 1/4-mile race. Uncle Mo was the 9-2 second choice on the morning line.

That reduces the field for the 137th Derby to 19 horses. Dialed In is the 4-1 early favorite.

Repole made the announcement Friday morning, about 40 minutes before Derby wagering opened.


not a shocker but definitely changes the field a bit
Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24814 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:00 am to
I was more referring to him even being an option and not lumped with other. There are many horses with lower odds. They wouldn't have him in there if he didn't have a big shot.
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:04 am to
So who had 8:30 et for the scratch? Anybody? Anybody?
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10613 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:10 am to
quote:

So who had 8:30 et for the scratch? Anybody? Anybody?


Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:10 am to
quote:

I was more referring to him even being an option and not lumped with other. There are many horses with lower odds. They wouldn't have him in there if he didn't have a big shot.


Yeah i gotcha. Hope he goes off at a good price.

quote:

So who had 8:30 et for the scratch? Anybody? Anybody?



pretty sure that was me!
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:15 am to
found this blog post interesting:

2011 Kentucky Derby View of the Start (disregard Uncle Mo, obviously)





- Historically, horses in the auxiliary gate (posts 15-20) will angle sharply to the left at the start to move quickly toward the center of the track.

- Horses lined up in posts 1 and 2 actually need to angle to the right to avoid hitting the rail.

- Horses coming from posts 11 to 14 will angle to the left to secure center position.

- Horses coming from posts 3 to 10 will generally move straight ahead when leaving the gate.

- This year, it appears #4 Stay Thirsty is most likely to get squeezed back by the crush of three early speed types angling in front of him from the left and #1 Archarcharch crossing in front of him from the right.

- Others that are likely to be impeded at the start are #13 Mucho Macho Man and #16 Animal Kingdom as speed horses desperate to secure good early position angle sharply in front of them.

- #20 Watch Me Go has it super tough coming from the 20 hole.

- Horses with the projected best starts include #8 Dialed In, #9 Derby Kitten, #10 Twinspired, #1 Archarcharch, #11 Master of Hounds, #7 Pants On Fire and #12 Santiva.

This post was edited on 5/6/11 at 9:17 am
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:34 am to
I'm going to believe that just because I want to
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:36 am to
yeah I figured you'd like that!

btw, first race at CD just finished. Leparoux, Borel 1 2. neither one were on the favorite. i had the exacta backwards though. should've boxed it.

ETA: nevermind, photo for second.. Borel got the show
This post was edited on 5/6/11 at 9:38 am
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:38 am to
They started this early?

I need to not watch, I need to clean. About to go buy stuff to make my bourbon slush so it freezes
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:39 am to
I've learned to always box
Posted by jojothetireguy
Live out in Coconut Grove
Member since Jan 2009
10613 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:45 am to
quote:

I've learned to always box


this will be my first year boxing, i just can't get a hold of this one
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:47 am to
IF I bet this race Ill probably take the chicken shite route and go $1 exacta box on 5 horses. Anyone know how to do the special pick 3 on twinspires?

Btw, every year my dad sends me a derby shirt and I'm sporting the hell out of mine right now
This post was edited on 5/6/11 at 9:49 am
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:51 am to
quote:

Anyone know how to do the special pick 3 on twinspires?


wager now/classic view/wager type/pick-3
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 9:57 am to
Thanks. Didn't know if it would be something special since it's 2 days
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:00 am to
no problem. it's easier to do Doubles and Pick 3s on the Twinspires Express one, i just don't like how cluttered it is so I rarely use it.
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:01 am to
Derby note:

quote:

John Velazquez has picked up the mount on Animal Kingdom, replacing the injured Robby Albarado.

Posted by Bho
Lexington
Member since Dec 2007
24814 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:04 am to
Can a brother get a update when race 3 runs
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:09 am to
about 21 MTP

i'm taking your 1 horse with the 3 and the 5.

just fricked myself in race 2. knew i should've picked the superior bred colt to win but there just wasn't enough value there so I went with a longer shot. of course he nipped the two favorites at the wire and my horse finished 7th.
This post was edited on 5/6/11 at 10:12 am
Posted by Aspercel
Member since Jan 2009
117492 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:19 am to
Uh oh... Poor Robbie


Sucks for him

and I checked last night. Always a princess is by French name king of the animals. Leroy, as they called him. She ran fine on dirt
This post was edited on 5/6/11 at 10:22 am
Posted by Rohan2Reed
Member since Nov 2003
75674 posts
Posted on 5/6/11 at 10:21 am to
yeah that's a tough break.

aspy there's an A.P. Indy sire line filly racing in this next one. i put her on my TRI
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