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re: CFB Week 5 Betting Thread

Posted on 9/30/22 at 10:02 pm to
Posted by gringeaux
DFW
Member since Oct 2008
2011 posts
Posted on 9/30/22 at 10:02 pm to
What's the boards thoughts on Bama 1st half -10? Arkansas pass defense isn't great and and sets up nice for Bryce Young.
Posted by PeteRose
Hall of Fame
Member since Aug 2014
18146 posts
Posted on 9/30/22 at 10:24 pm to
Any guarantee profit is a good thing.
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 9/30/22 at 10:33 pm to
The rest of the weekend..

Louisville -13
Texas Tech +7.5
Michigan-10
Minnesota -10.5
Illinois +7
Oklahoma -5
James Madison -22
Utah -10.5
FSU -6
Iowa St -3
Ohio St -40
Penn St -25.5
Fresno St -23.5
Ole Miss -6.5
FAU -3
California +4.5
WKU -5.5
Georgia -30
WVU +7.5
Pittsburgh -21.5
Arizona -17.5
USC -24.5
Oregon -17
Posted by gringeaux
DFW
Member since Oct 2008
2011 posts
Posted on 9/30/22 at 10:54 pm to
What's your system for all of these picks? Do you do your own power rankings? I'm just getting a little more in to betting so and tips are always helpful.
This post was edited on 9/30/22 at 11:08 pm
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 1:18 am to
quote:

The Funnie Five

That’s the one I was thinking of, but no posts since 2019. Man, time is a crazy MF when you get older. I swear it feels like he was posting here last year.

I’ll sign off with another play. Central Mich is just a flat out better football team than Toledo. It doesn’t guarantee a win but them getting a TD here is insane.

The only mildly impressive thing Toledo has done is run up the score on UMass. When they played Ohio St it felt like they could have lost 127-21. Then they followed that up by losing to pathetic SDSU.

At least CMU has played a tough schedule and hasn’t gotten embarrassed at all. They outgained Okla St and were even with Penn St in the box score.

CMU +7

On a related note, the more you look at S Alabama the more impressive they appear. Transfer QB from Toledo has been the goods. They legit should be 4-0 with a win over UCLA.

The fact that they are laying 8.5 on the road against ULL is simultaneously crazy but also arguably not enough.

At this point I’d honestly be surprised if they don’t win the Sun Belt with JMU being ineligible.
This post was edited on 10/1/22 at 1:39 am
Posted by Jwho77
cyperspace
Member since Sep 2003
84282 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 1:20 am to
Bad beat alert on the total in UNLV-New Mexico.
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 1:22 am to
Imagine if they get another pick 6 and cover

Can’t believe we have a 4-1 team in Vegas with 4 more winnable games on the schedule.
This post was edited on 10/1/22 at 1:27 am
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 8:54 am to
$25 cfb parlay insurance on fanduel:
5-leg (+448)
Michigan ML
Minn alt -2.5
OU alt +3.5
JMU -21.5
KU alt +7.5
Posted by LooseCannon22282
South Alabama Fan
Member since May 2008
35933 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:09 am to
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
66902 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:19 am to
Bowling green vs Akron May be the worst game on paper I have ever seen
Posted by Bunk Moreland
Member since Dec 2010
68083 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:28 am to
I'm on Purdue as 12.5 seemed like a lot for a team that could easily be 3-0. I think Rece Davis said Minny is near the top of the country in efficiency statistics, though. Something must have happened because the line is 9.5 now. Also tailing cracka on Iowa State -3.

A buddy texted me to take Michigan since every Iowa receiver is out. Iowa has a way of turning games into rockfights, but I think out of Corum, the receivers, and McCarthy, Michigan should hit two or three big plays to pull away.
Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:35 am to
Minnesota is 100% this year covering the spread.

But so was UNLV & they didn’t cover -14 last night.

So is Oregon St & Kansas, but Bear on Gameday is against them today fwiw. He’s their “best bettor” & 8-4 on the season.

He just took PUR +9.5 too. Surely, he won’t go 0-3 so it might be worth considering to bet opposite of the 100% ATS teams.
This post was edited on 10/1/22 at 9:57 am
Posted by LooseCannon22282
South Alabama Fan
Member since May 2008
35933 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:53 am to
quote:

Something must have happened because the line is 9.5 now.


Yeah, I was having second thoughts on that and just tried to go cash out the bet and remove just that game from my card.

Cash out unavailable and it's still over an hour away from fricking kickoff.

I don't know if it's because of that game or what but I'd take that back if I could.

Seems fishy.

Posted by lsufb1912
Louisiana
Member since Aug 2021
5965 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:58 am to
quote:

Something must have happened because the line is 9.5 now.


Probably just a ton of people betting PUR to cover
Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 9:59 am to
O’Connell is starting. I’m assuming he was supposed to be out, or at least questionable.
Posted by LooseCannon22282
South Alabama Fan
Member since May 2008
35933 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 10:02 am to
quote:

On a related note, the more you look at S Alabama the more impressive they appear. Transfer QB from Toledo has been the goods. They legit should be 4-0 with a win over UCLA.


Bradley is definitely the best QB we've had but I think the biggest improvement has been the running game.

We've never had a run game worth a lick.

LaDamian Webb is averaging 5.7 a carry. He originally went to Florida St then transferred to JC now at South.

Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 10:08 am to
quote:

Iowa receiver

Posted by bayoucracka
Member since Sep 2015
6898 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 10:09 am to
quote:

LaDamian Webb

I knew that name sounded vaguely familiar.
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33192 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 10:32 am to
The underdog in those military match-up have covered 4 of the last 5 meetings
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
33192 posts
Posted on 10/1/22 at 10:34 am to
Minnesota played statistically the best game of the entire season last week vs Mich St

They're legit, but will be see regression this week?

I bet them to win the Big 10 at 25-1, and I'm just going to hedge when they face Ohio St/Michigan
This post was edited on 10/1/22 at 10:42 am
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