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re: CFB bets week 13

Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:27 am to
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:27 am to
I really don't believe in sucker bets on lines


Vegas doesn't know the outcome of the game so I don't believe in the who 'its a trap' type stuff. Bad lines are one thing, but sucker/trap bets, not for me.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31834 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Vegas doesn't know the outcome of the game so I don't believe in the who 'its a trap' type stuff. Bad lines are one thing, but sucker/trap bets, not for me.


Are you really worried about that last minute line movement?
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:45 am to
quote:

Are you really worried about that last minute line movement?

Last minute line movement is probably one of the best indicators in betting. Most big betting sharps wait until right before the game before they lay their money down. When this happens and the lines have a heavy shift, that means big sharps are on a certain side. In this case, sharps are on Tulsa. They don't know what the outcome will be, but they sure know a hell of a lot more than the public.
Posted by supadave3
Houston, TX
Member since Dec 2005
31834 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:51 am to
quote:

They don't know what the outcome will be, but they sure know a hell of a lot more than the public.


For sure. I felt like betting Houston was a great bet, though. Guess we'll have to wait and see.

Did you put any action on the LSU game?
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:55 am to
quote:

Did you put any action on the LSU game?
Not yet, I don't like betting on LSU unless it is really good value. If it was 10, I'd bet it. I think Arky has the potential to keep it within 2 TDs
Posted by holt11
Member since Aug 2011
282 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 11:58 am to
I understand and respect your beliefs, and hope that I am wrong but the way the line shifted I am afraid that taking Houston was indeed a sucker bet. A sucker bet too me is one that looks too good to be true but you just cant lay off, which is exactly what this game was for me. Laid off all week and then last minute, I couldnt resist- again hopefully you are right and I am wrong. Geaux Cougs!!
Posted by PBnJ
in your lunchbox
Member since Aug 2009
2695 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:38 pm to
My over 75 in Houston/Tulsa is so fricked.

I need a lock of the century this weekend to make up for it ugh
Posted by PokerChamp21
Member since Apr 2006
20125 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:39 pm to
misread that..


id look at rutgers/missouri/nc state tomorrow
This post was edited on 11/25/11 at 12:40 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:42 pm to
I saw LSU is -11 on Oddsmaker. I still have a few fricks left on that site so I put a unit on it.

Refreshed and back 5 minutes later and saw it was to -11.5 so I got good value. -12 on most other places
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:45 pm to
quote:

I think Arky has the potential to keep it within 2 TDs


i'll probably do a small 1stH play and go from there

we are gonna come out and play like a bunch of madmen..

i like what Brockers said in the advocate..

“We can’t look past them. We’ve just got to come with it ... This is the biggest game of the century right now.”

that's focus
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:47 pm to
Yea, I'm torn but I bet the line I got on value. Haven't seen -11 anywhere else so I am happy with it.
Posted by lsuguy13
RIP MATT
Member since Mar 2004
9509 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:48 pm to
2nd half line pick em houston tulsa who we taking
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Yea, I'm torn but I bet the line I got on value. Haven't seen -11 anywhere else so I am happy with it



like you said, smart money is at -10 and under..

i have just waiting for the public to jump on arky thirty minutes before the game and grab a nice 1stH play
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:11 pm to
Final score - NIU 18 Eastern Mich 12

My +18.5 covered without E Mich scoring.

I'll let y'all know when I've got something else... Go tigers!
Posted by DaBeerz
Member since Sep 2004
18304 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:15 pm to
-11 at 5 dimes now

-127 if you buy -10
This post was edited on 11/25/11 at 1:15 pm
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

-11 at 5 dimes now


that's what it is on all my sites

i'm gonna hold off for another three minutes
Posted by DaBeerz
Member since Sep 2004
18304 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:29 pm to
I keep hitting refresh too
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:33 pm to
the hell with it



*2 at -11

*1 at -7 1stH

ETA-
This post was edited on 11/25/11 at 1:38 pm
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82061 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:42 pm to
Here we go!
Posted by aVatiger
Water
Member since Jan 2006
27967 posts
Posted on 11/25/11 at 1:44 pm to
the hell with the scoreboard thread..

i'm keeping my posts in here for good karma


eta- now that i think about it..

should we start a Pigs @ LSU in-game betting thread?
This post was edited on 11/25/11 at 1:47 pm
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