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re: CFB bets BOWL SEASON!

Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:12 pm to
Posted by TigahFan4Life
Baton Rouge, LA home of the TIGAHS!
Member since Aug 2007
11019 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Parlays are like making a bonfire with cash if you do them consistently.


i've hit 6 parlays this season. up around 200$ or so. Hoping to make a little more.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:17 pm to
That's good. I'd be more than happy to be your sportsbook for the one you just posted. And in the long run it's better to isolate games and make straight bets than to bet parlays. It's just a numbers game.

Look at it this way, if you're a beast handicapper you hit 60% of the time... So if you're hitting at that ridiculous rate you still only have a 21.6% chance of hitting a 3 team parlay. TTT, I, and others have discussed this quite a few times this year...
Posted by TigahFan4Life
Baton Rouge, LA home of the TIGAHS!
Member since Aug 2007
11019 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:23 pm to
i wish i would have been in a few. I'm fairly new to the betting game. still working my way up.

You don't like those picks? I have a pretty good feeling about it
Posted by JG77056
Vegas baby, Vegas
Member since Sep 2010
12077 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:24 pm to
Parlays like these are stupid, just because it would pay out more if he just took his winnings and re-invested them in the next game. But I'm not against small parlays in the times that multiple games are going on at the same time.

The casinos out here have started lowering the number of teams you can parlay together after taking beatings earlier in the season.
Posted by ChemE in the OP
The Flats
Member since Apr 2011
6382 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

You don't like those picks? I have a pretty good feeling about it.


For one, I'm on FIU -4 tonight so I disagree with you there... Secondly, your next two bets are on teams that expected to be in better bowls than they got so you've got parlayed money on big favorites that aren't excited about the games they're in.

You may hit but that's my honest analysis.

ETA - The regular season is about the schedule (the ups and downs of teenagers), the bowl season is about motivation, you have to keep that in mind.
This post was edited on 12/20/11 at 2:36 pm
Posted by TigahFan4Life
Baton Rouge, LA home of the TIGAHS!
Member since Aug 2007
11019 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 2:57 pm to
my record for the year is 111-73

thats 60% winning percentage

I'm sure there is a way to win more money with that
This post was edited on 12/20/11 at 3:53 pm
Posted by LSUtigersarefun
Member since Aug 2009
9602 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Parlays like these are stupid, just because it would pay out more if he just took his winnings and re-invested them in the next game. But I'm not against small parlays in the times that multiple games are going on at the same time.

The casinos out here have started lowering the number of teams you can parlay together after taking beatings earlier in the season.


I like teasers, and small parlays. For fun I usually do a BCS Parlay.
I think the best money is picking moneyline upsets when the spread is -5 or less.

ETA: I am a novice and this is probably horrible advice.
This post was edited on 12/20/11 at 3:07 pm
Posted by Louie T
Member since Dec 2006
36710 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:36 pm to
That's not 65%
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

my record for the year is 111-73

thats 65% winning percentage


not 65%


barely 60% actually
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:45 pm to
I lean to marshall tonight

just my pick im probably not even playing it. dont want to argue players and ill ive just seen both teams and like the points

BOL however you bet tonight
Posted by TigahFan4Life
Baton Rouge, LA home of the TIGAHS!
Member since Aug 2007
11019 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:53 pm to


my bad....brain fart. recalculated
Posted by SprintFun
Columbus, OH
Member since Dec 2007
45841 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 3:54 pm to
I'm going FIU. Basically its a coin flip to me, so I'll tail sms who knows a hell of a lot more than me.
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:00 pm to
like i said im not betting it so dont trust me because i honestly dont care

gl
Posted by Flatt2Flowers04
Member since Jul 2011
3359 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:15 pm to
I'm on Marshall but waiting to see what the line is before kickoff.


Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

How confident are you?

Somewhat. I have them as a 2 unit bet which is in the middle of my confidence range
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:41 pm to
quote:

Parlays are like making a bonfire with cash if you do them consistently.

This should be announced at the beginning of EVERY single bet thread
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:41 pm to
Looks like we will have a split MSB tonight! A lot of ppl on both sides of the action
Posted by wish i was tebow
The Golf Board
Member since Feb 2009
46124 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:44 pm to
this thread will be doing this tonight
Posted by TigerTatorTots
The Safeshore
Member since Jul 2009
82195 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:46 pm to
Posted by Brageous
Member since Jul 2008
107724 posts
Posted on 12/20/11 at 4:50 pm to
I'm betting both sides so that everyone likes me
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